Football Prediction: Wrexham vs Derby

Wrexham vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: The Racecourse Ground

1.51
L D L W W W

SCHEDULED -

1.19

L D L D W W

Kick Off: 27-09-2025 13:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Wrexham and Derby face each other in the England Championship match on Saturday 27th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Wrexham have scored an average of 2.27 goals and conceded average of 2.27 goals while Derby scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.37 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Wrexham vs Derby is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 71.44%

Head to Head Record - Wrexham vs. Derby

Date	Competition	Match
04-01-2026	England Championship 2025	Derby	- (HT -)	Wrexham
27-09-2025	England Championship 2025	Wrexham	- (HT -)	Derby

Competition		Date
England Championship		04-01-2026
Derby	- (HT -)	Wrexham
England Championship		27-09-2025
Wrexham	- (HT -)	Derby