Football Prediction: Watford vs Oxford United

Watford vs Oxford United

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Vicarage Road Stadium

1.31
D D W L L D

SCHEDULED -

0.81

D L L L W L

Kick Off: 04-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Watford and Oxford United face each other in the England Championship match on Saturday 4th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Watford have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Oxford United scored 1.18 goals and conceded 1.44 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Watford vs Oxford United is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.60%

Head to Head Record - Watford vs. Oxford United

Date	Competition	Match
11-04-2026	England Championship 2025	Oxford United	- (HT -)	Watford
04-10-2025	England Championship 2025	Watford	- (HT -)	Oxford United
15-03-2025	England Championship 2024	Oxford United	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Watford
08-11-2024	England Championship 2024	Watford	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Oxford United

Competition		Date
England Championship		11-04-2026
Oxford United	- (HT -)	Watford
England Championship		04-10-2025
Watford	- (HT -)	Oxford United
England Championship		15-03-2025
Oxford United	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Watford
England Championship		08-11-2024
Watford	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Oxford United