Football Prediction: Oxford United vs Stoke City

Oxford United vs Stoke City

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Kassem Stadium

1.38
D W D L W L

SCHEDULED -

0.71

D L L W W D

Kick Off: 04-11-2025 20:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Oxford United and Stoke City face each other in the England Championship match on Tuesday 4th of November 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Oxford United have scored an average of 1.66 goals and conceded average of 1.66 goals while Stoke City scored 0.94 goals and conceded 1.48 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Oxford United vs Stoke City is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 65.32%

Head to Head Record - Oxford United vs. Stoke City

Date	Competition	Match
24-02-2026	England Championship 2025	Stoke City	- (HT -)	Oxford United
04-11-2025	England Championship 2025	Oxford United	- (HT -)	Stoke City
25-01-2025	England Championship 2024	Stoke City	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Oxford United
14-09-2024	England Championship 2024	Oxford United	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Stoke City

Competition		Date
England Championship		24-02-2026
Stoke City	- (HT -)	Oxford United
England Championship		04-11-2025
Oxford United	- (HT -)	Stoke City
England Championship		25-01-2025
Stoke City	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Oxford United
England Championship		14-09-2024
Oxford United	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Stoke City