MaTipsBirmingham vs Derby
H2H, Stats & Predictions
Venue: St Andrews stadium
1.33W W W W W D
SCHEDULED
-
1.56
D
W
W
L
D
D
Kick Off: 26-12-2025 16:00 h.
Mathematical Predictions:
Over 2.5
 Away WIN
|
In the last 10 matches Birmingham have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded average of 1.25 goals while Derby scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.36 goals.
Poisson distribution algorithm
We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.
Most probable outcome for Birmingham vs Derby is:
Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.10%
Head to Head Record - Birmingham vs. Derby
| Date | Competition | Match | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21-03-2026 | England Championship 2025 | Derby | - (HT -) | Birmingham | 26-12-2025 | England Championship 2025 | Birmingham | - (HT -) | Derby | 30-01-2022 | England Championship 2021 | Derby | 2-2 (HT 0-1) | Birmingham | 10-09-2021 | England Championship 2021 | Birmingham | 2-0 (HT 1-0) | Derby | 24-04-2021 | England Championship 2020 | Derby | 1-2 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | 29-12-2020 | England Championship 2020 | Birmingham | 0-4 (HT 0-3) | Derby | 22-07-2020 | England Championship 2019 | Birmingham | 1-3 (HT 0-1) | Derby | 28-09-2019 | England Championship 2019 | Derby | 3-2 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | 19-04-2019 | England Championship 2018 | Birmingham | 2-2 (HT 2-2) | Derby | 03-11-2018 | England Championship 2018 | Derby | 3-1 (HT 0-1) | Birmingham | 13-01-2018 | England Championship 2017 | Birmingham | 0-3 (HT 0-1) | Derby | 23-09-2017 | England Championship 2017 | Derby | 1-1 (HT 0-0) | Birmingham | 08-04-2017 | England Championship 2016 | Birmingham | 1-2 (HT 0-1) | Derby | 27-12-2016 | England Championship 2016 | Derby | 1-0 (HT 0-0) | Birmingham | 16-01-2016 | England Championship 2015 | Derby | 0-3 (HT 0-0) | Birmingham | 21-08-2015 | England Championship 2015 | Birmingham | 1-1 (HT 1-0) | Derby | 07-03-2015 | England Championship 2014 | Derby | 2-2 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | 26-12-2014 | England Championship 2014 | Birmingham | 0-4 (HT 0-2) | Derby | 01-02-2014 | England Championship 2013 | Birmingham | 3-3 (HT 0-0) | Derby | 26-10-2013 | England Championship 2013 | Derby | 1-1 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | 09-03-2013 | England Championship 2012 | Birmingham | 3-1 (HT 0-1) | Derby | 24-11-2012 | England Championship 2012 | Derby | 3-2 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | 03-03-2012 | England Championship 2011 | Birmingham | 2-2 (HT 1-0) | Derby | 06-08-2011 | England Championship 2011 | Derby | 2-1 (HT 2-1) | Birmingham |
| Competition | Date | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England Championship | 21-03-2026 | ||||
| Derby | - (HT -) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 26-12-2025 | ||||
| Birmingham | - (HT -) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 30-01-2022 | ||||
| Derby | 2-2 (HT 0-1) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 10-09-2021 | ||||
| Birmingham | 2-0 (HT 1-0) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 24-04-2021 | ||||
| Derby | 1-2 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 29-12-2020 | ||||
| Birmingham | 0-4 (HT 0-3) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 22-07-2020 | ||||
| Birmingham | 1-3 (HT 0-1) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 28-09-2019 | ||||
| Derby | 3-2 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 19-04-2019 | ||||
| Birmingham | 2-2 (HT 2-2) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 03-11-2018 | ||||
| Derby | 3-1 (HT 0-1) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 13-01-2018 | ||||
| Birmingham | 0-3 (HT 0-1) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 23-09-2017 | ||||
| Derby | 1-1 (HT 0-0) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 08-04-2017 | ||||
| Birmingham | 1-2 (HT 0-1) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 27-12-2016 | ||||
| Derby | 1-0 (HT 0-0) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 16-01-2016 | ||||
| Derby | 0-3 (HT 0-0) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 21-08-2015 | ||||
| Birmingham | 1-1 (HT 1-0) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 07-03-2015 | ||||
| Derby | 2-2 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 26-12-2014 | ||||
| Birmingham | 0-4 (HT 0-2) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 01-02-2014 | ||||
| Birmingham | 3-3 (HT 0-0) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 26-10-2013 | ||||
| Derby | 1-1 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 09-03-2013 | ||||
| Birmingham | 3-1 (HT 0-1) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 24-11-2012 | ||||
| Derby | 3-2 (HT 1-0) | Birmingham | |||
| England Championship | 03-03-2012 | ||||
| Birmingham | 2-2 (HT 1-0) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 06-08-2011 | ||||
| Derby | 2-1 (HT 2-1) | Birmingham | |||