Friday 4th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Birmingham vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: St Andrews stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Birmingham 1.33
W W W W W D
SCHEDULED -
1.56 This is Logo of Away Team: Derby
D W W L D D
Kick Off: 26-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for away result - 2 Away WIN
Birmingham and Derby face each other in the England Championship match on Friday 26th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.36 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.27 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Birmingham have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded average of 1.25 goals while Derby scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.36 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Birmingham vs Derby is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.10%

Head to Head Record - Birmingham vs. Derby

Date Competition Match
21-03-2026 England Championship 2025 Derby - (HT -) Birmingham
26-12-2025 England Championship 2025 Birmingham - (HT -) Derby
30-01-2022 England Championship 2021 Derby 2-2 (HT 0-1) Birmingham
10-09-2021 England Championship 2021 Birmingham 2-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
24-04-2021 England Championship 2020 Derby 1-2 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
29-12-2020 England Championship 2020 Birmingham 0-4 (HT 0-3) Derby
22-07-2020 England Championship 2019 Birmingham 1-3 (HT 0-1) Derby
28-09-2019 England Championship 2019 Derby 3-2 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
19-04-2019 England Championship 2018 Birmingham 2-2 (HT 2-2) Derby
03-11-2018 England Championship 2018 Derby 3-1 (HT 0-1) Birmingham
13-01-2018 England Championship 2017 Birmingham 0-3 (HT 0-1) Derby
23-09-2017 England Championship 2017 Derby 1-1 (HT 0-0) Birmingham
08-04-2017 England Championship 2016 Birmingham 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
27-12-2016 England Championship 2016 Derby 1-0 (HT 0-0) Birmingham
16-01-2016 England Championship 2015 Derby 0-3 (HT 0-0) Birmingham
21-08-2015 England Championship 2015 Birmingham 1-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
07-03-2015 England Championship 2014 Derby 2-2 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
26-12-2014 England Championship 2014 Birmingham 0-4 (HT 0-2) Derby
01-02-2014 England Championship 2013 Birmingham 3-3 (HT 0-0) Derby
26-10-2013 England Championship 2013 Derby 1-1 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
09-03-2013 England Championship 2012 Birmingham 3-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
24-11-2012 England Championship 2012 Derby 3-2 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
03-03-2012 England Championship 2011 Birmingham 2-2 (HT 1-0) Derby
06-08-2011 England Championship 2011 Derby 2-1 (HT 2-1) Birmingham
Competition Date
England Championship 21-03-2026
Derby - (HT -) Birmingham
England Championship 26-12-2025
Birmingham - (HT -) Derby
England Championship 30-01-2022
Derby 2-2 (HT 0-1) Birmingham
England Championship 10-09-2021
Birmingham 2-0 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 24-04-2021
Derby 1-2 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
England Championship 29-12-2020
Birmingham 0-4 (HT 0-3) Derby
England Championship 22-07-2020
Birmingham 1-3 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 28-09-2019
Derby 3-2 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
England Championship 19-04-2019
Birmingham 2-2 (HT 2-2) Derby
England Championship 03-11-2018
Derby 3-1 (HT 0-1) Birmingham
England Championship 13-01-2018
Birmingham 0-3 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 23-09-2017
Derby 1-1 (HT 0-0) Birmingham
England Championship 08-04-2017
Birmingham 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 27-12-2016
Derby 1-0 (HT 0-0) Birmingham
England Championship 16-01-2016
Derby 0-3 (HT 0-0) Birmingham
England Championship 21-08-2015
Birmingham 1-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 07-03-2015
Derby 2-2 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
England Championship 26-12-2014
Birmingham 0-4 (HT 0-2) Derby
England Championship 01-02-2014
Birmingham 3-3 (HT 0-0) Derby
England Championship 26-10-2013
Derby 1-1 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
England Championship 09-03-2013
Birmingham 3-1 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 24-11-2012
Derby 3-2 (HT 1-0) Birmingham
England Championship 03-03-2012
Birmingham 2-2 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 06-08-2011
Derby 2-1 (HT 2-1) Birmingham