Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Leicester vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: King Power Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Leicester 1.33
W W L D W L
SCHEDULED -
0.22 This is Logo of Away Team: Derby
D L D L D L
Kick Off: 29-12-2025 20:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN
Leicester and Derby face each other in the England Championship match on Monday 29th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.67 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Leicester have scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded average of 1.67 goals while Derby scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.37 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Leicester vs Derby is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 100.00%

Head to Head Record - Leicester vs. Derby

Date Competition Match
29-12-2025 England Championship 2025 Leicester - (HT -) Derby
06-12-2025 England Championship 2025 Derby - (HT -) Leicester
10-01-2014 England Championship 2013 Leicester 4-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
17-08-2013 England Championship 2013 Derby 0-1 (HT 0-1) Leicester
16-03-2013 England Championship 2012 Derby 2-1 (HT 2-0) Leicester
01-12-2012 England Championship 2012 Leicester 4-1 (HT 2-1) Derby
23-02-2012 England Championship 2011 Derby 0-1 (HT 0-1) Leicester
01-10-2011 England Championship 2011 Leicester 4-0 (HT 2-0) Derby
Competition Date
England Championship 29-12-2025
Leicester - (HT -) Derby
England Championship 06-12-2025
Derby - (HT -) Leicester
England Championship 10-01-2014
Leicester 4-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 17-08-2013
Derby 0-1 (HT 0-1) Leicester
England Championship 16-03-2013
Derby 2-1 (HT 2-0) Leicester
England Championship 01-12-2012
Leicester 4-1 (HT 2-1) Derby
England Championship 23-02-2012
Derby 0-1 (HT 0-1) Leicester
England Championship 01-10-2011
Leicester 4-0 (HT 2-0) Derby