MaTipsLeicester vs Derby
H2H, Stats & Predictions
Venue: King Power Stadium
1.84D D D W W L
SCHEDULED
-
0.98
D
L
W
D
L
D
| Kick Off: 29-12-2025 20:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN |
In the last 10 matches Leicester have scored an average of 1.66 goals and conceded average of 1.66 goals while Derby scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.37 goals.
Poisson distribution algorithm
We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.
Most probable outcome for Leicester vs Derby is:
Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.71%
Head to Head Record - Leicester vs. Derby
| Date | Competition | Match | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29-12-2025 | England Championship 2025 | Leicester | - (HT -) | Derby | 06-12-2025 | England Championship 2025 | Derby | - (HT -) | Leicester | 10-01-2014 | England Championship 2013 | Leicester | 4-1 (HT 1-0) | Derby | 17-08-2013 | England Championship 2013 | Derby | 0-1 (HT 0-1) | Leicester | 16-03-2013 | England Championship 2012 | Derby | 2-1 (HT 2-0) | Leicester | 01-12-2012 | England Championship 2012 | Leicester | 4-1 (HT 2-1) | Derby | 23-02-2012 | England Championship 2011 | Derby | 0-1 (HT 0-1) | Leicester | 01-10-2011 | England Championship 2011 | Leicester | 4-0 (HT 2-0) | Derby |
| Competition | Date | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England Championship | 29-12-2025 | ||||
| Leicester | - (HT -) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 06-12-2025 | ||||
| Derby | - (HT -) | Leicester | |||
| England Championship | 10-01-2014 | ||||
| Leicester | 4-1 (HT 1-0) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 17-08-2013 | ||||
| Derby | 0-1 (HT 0-1) | Leicester | |||
| England Championship | 16-03-2013 | ||||
| Derby | 2-1 (HT 2-0) | Leicester | |||
| England Championship | 01-12-2012 | ||||
| Leicester | 4-1 (HT 2-1) | Derby | |||
| England Championship | 23-02-2012 | ||||
| Derby | 0-1 (HT 0-1) | Leicester | |||
| England Championship | 01-10-2011 | ||||
| Leicester | 4-0 (HT 2-0) | Derby | |||
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