Football Prediction: Southampton vs Millwall

Southampton vs Millwall

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: St Marys Stadium

1.27
D W L D W W

SCHEDULED -

1.12

L W W L W W

Kick Off: 01-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Southampton and Millwall face each other in the England Championship match on Thursday 1st of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Southampton have scored an average of 1.50 goals and conceded average of 1.50 goals while Millwall scored 0.99 goals and conceded 1.31 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Southampton vs Millwall is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.33%

Head to Head Record - Southampton vs. Millwall

Date	Competition	Match
01-01-2026	England Championship 2025	Southampton	- (HT -)	Millwall
29-11-2025	England Championship 2025	Millwall	- (HT -)	Southampton
24-02-2024	England Championship 2023	Southampton	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Millwall
04-11-2023	England Championship 2023	Millwall	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Southampton
17-03-2012	England Championship 2011	Millwall	2-3 (HT 2-1)	Southampton
20-08-2011	England Championship 2011	Southampton	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Millwall

Competition		Date
England Championship		01-01-2026
Southampton	- (HT -)	Millwall
England Championship		29-11-2025
Millwall	- (HT -)	Southampton
England Championship		24-02-2024
Southampton	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Millwall
England Championship		04-11-2023
Millwall	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Southampton
England Championship		17-03-2012
Millwall	2-3 (HT 2-1)	Southampton
England Championship		20-08-2011
Southampton	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Millwall