Derby vs Wrexham

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Pride Park Stadium

0.92
D L W D L D

SCHEDULED -

0.74

D W L W W D

Kick Off: 04-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Derby and Wrexham face each other in the England Championship match on Sunday 4th of January 2026. The two teams have met 0 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Derby have scored an average of 1.56 goals and conceded average of 1.56 goals while Wrexham scored 1.27 goals and conceded 1.20 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Derby vs Wrexham is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 76.81%

Head to Head Record - Derby vs. Wrexham

Date	Competition	Match
04-01-2026	England Championship 2025	Derby	- (HT -)	Wrexham
27-09-2025	England Championship 2025	Wrexham	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Derby

Competition		Date
England Championship		04-01-2026
Derby	- (HT -)	Wrexham
England Championship		27-09-2025
Wrexham	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Derby

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