Sunday 3rd of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Watford vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Vicarage Road Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Watford 1.45
D L L L L W
SCHEDULED -
1.30 This is Logo of Away Team: Derby
D W W L D D
Kick Off: 21-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Watford and Derby face each other in the England Championship match on Saturday 21st of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Watford have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Derby scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.36 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Watford vs Derby is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.86%

Head to Head Record - Watford vs. Derby

Date Competition Match
21-02-2026 England Championship 2025 Watford - (HT -) Derby
22-11-2025 England Championship 2025 Derby - (HT -) Watford
18-01-2025 England Championship 2024 Derby 0-2 (HT 0-1) Watford
24-08-2024 England Championship 2024 Watford 2-1 (HT 1-1) Derby
19-02-2021 England Championship 2020 Watford 2-1 (HT 2-0) Derby
16-10-2020 England Championship 2020 Derby 0-1 (HT 0-0) Watford
03-04-2015 England Championship 2014 Derby 2-2 (HT 1-1) Watford
22-11-2014 England Championship 2014 Watford 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
26-04-2014 England Championship 2013 Derby 4-2 (HT 1-1) Watford
19-10-2013 England Championship 2013 Watford 2-3 (HT 1-2) Derby
23-02-2013 England Championship 2012 Watford 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
01-09-2012 England Championship 2012 Derby 5-1 (HT 3-0) Watford
10-03-2012 England Championship 2011 Derby 1-2 (HT 1-2) Watford
13-08-2011 England Championship 2011 Watford 0-1 (HT 0-0) Derby
Competition Date
England Championship 21-02-2026
Watford - (HT -) Derby
England Championship 22-11-2025
Derby - (HT -) Watford
England Championship 18-01-2025
Derby 0-2 (HT 0-1) Watford
England Championship 24-08-2024
Watford 2-1 (HT 1-1) Derby
England Championship 19-02-2021
Watford 2-1 (HT 2-0) Derby
England Championship 16-10-2020
Derby 0-1 (HT 0-0) Watford
England Championship 03-04-2015
Derby 2-2 (HT 1-1) Watford
England Championship 22-11-2014
Watford 1-2 (HT 0-1) Derby
England Championship 26-04-2014
Derby 4-2 (HT 1-1) Watford
England Championship 19-10-2013
Watford 2-3 (HT 1-2) Derby
England Championship 23-02-2013
Watford 2-1 (HT 1-0) Derby
England Championship 01-09-2012
Derby 5-1 (HT 3-0) Watford
England Championship 10-03-2012
Derby 1-2 (HT 1-2) Watford
England Championship 13-08-2011
Watford 0-1 (HT 0-0) Derby