Watford vs Derby

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Vicarage Road Stadium

1.47
W L L D D W

SCHEDULED -

1.39

D L W D L D

Kick Off: 21-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and DRAW

Watford and Derby face each other in the England Championship match on Saturday 21st of February 2026. The two teams have met 12 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.58 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.75 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Watford have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Derby scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.37 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Watford vs Derby is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.51%

Head to Head Record - Watford vs. Derby

Date	Competition	Match
21-02-2026	England Championship 2025	Watford	- (HT -)	Derby
22-11-2025	England Championship 2025	Derby	- (HT -)	Watford
18-01-2025	England Championship 2024	Derby	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Watford
24-08-2024	England Championship 2024	Watford	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Derby
19-02-2021	England Championship 2020	Watford	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Derby
16-10-2020	England Championship 2020	Derby	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Watford
03-04-2015	England Championship 2014	Derby	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Watford
22-11-2014	England Championship 2014	Watford	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Derby
26-04-2014	England Championship 2013	Derby	4-2 (HT 1-1)	Watford
19-10-2013	England Championship 2013	Watford	2-3 (HT 1-2)	Derby
23-02-2013	England Championship 2012	Watford	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Derby
01-09-2012	England Championship 2012	Derby	5-1 (HT 3-0)	Watford
10-03-2012	England Championship 2011	Derby	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Watford
13-08-2011	England Championship 2011	Watford	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Derby

Competition		Date
England Championship		21-02-2026
Watford	- (HT -)	Derby
England Championship		22-11-2025
Derby	- (HT -)	Watford
England Championship		18-01-2025
Derby	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Watford
England Championship		24-08-2024
Watford	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Derby
England Championship		19-02-2021
Watford	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Derby
England Championship		16-10-2020
Derby	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Watford
England Championship		03-04-2015
Derby	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Watford
England Championship		22-11-2014
Watford	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Derby
England Championship		26-04-2014
Derby	4-2 (HT 1-1)	Watford
England Championship		19-10-2013
Watford	2-3 (HT 1-2)	Derby
England Championship		23-02-2013
Watford	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Derby
England Championship		01-09-2012
Derby	5-1 (HT 3-0)	Watford
England Championship		10-03-2012
Derby	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Watford
England Championship		13-08-2011
Watford	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Derby

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