Football Prediction: Newport County vs Morecambe

Newport County vs Morecambe

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Rodney Parade

2.94
W W L L L W

SCHEDULED -

1.87

L D D D D L

Kick Off: 05-01-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Newport County and Morecambe face each other in the England League Two match on Sunday 5th of January 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 5.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Newport County have scored an average of 1.72 goals and conceded average of 1.72 goals while Morecambe scored 1.09 goals and conceded 2.09 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Newport County vs Morecambe is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 85.79%

Head to Head Record - Newport County vs. Morecambe

Date	Competition	Match
05-01-2025	England League Two 2024	Newport County	- (HT -)	Morecambe
31-08-2024	England League Two 2024	Morecambe	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Newport County
12-03-2024	England League Two 2023	Newport County	5-3 (HT 2-1)	Morecambe
28-11-2023	England League Two 2023	Morecambe	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Newport County
06-11-2021	England FA Cup 2021	Morecambe	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Newport County

Competition		Date
England League Two		05-01-2025
Newport County	- (HT -)	Morecambe
England League Two		31-08-2024
Morecambe	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Newport County
England League Two		12-03-2024
Newport County	5-3 (HT 2-1)	Morecambe
England League Two		28-11-2023
Morecambe	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Newport County
England FA Cup		06-11-2021
Morecambe	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Newport County