Football Prediction: Newport County vs Crewe

Newport County vs Crewe

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Rodney parade Stadium

1.46
D D L L D D

SCHEDULED -

1.17

W L L L D L

Kick Off: 29-12-2025 20:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Newport County and Crewe face each other in the England League Two match on Monday 29th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Newport County have scored an average of 1.52 goals and conceded average of 1.52 goals while Crewe scored 1.01 goals and conceded 1.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Newport County vs Crewe is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.16%

Head to Head Record - Newport County vs. Crewe

Date	Competition	Match
29-12-2025	England League Two 2025	Newport County	- (HT -)	Crewe
09-12-2025	England League Two 2025	Crewe	- (HT -)	Newport County
08-02-2025	England League Two 2024	Crewe	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Newport County
28-09-2024	England League Two 2024	Newport County	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Crewe
29-12-2023	England League Two 2023	Newport County	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Crewe
15-08-2023	England League Two 2023	Crewe	4-2 (HT 1-1)	Newport County

Competition		Date
England League Two		29-12-2025
Newport County	- (HT -)	Crewe
England League Two		09-12-2025
Crewe	- (HT -)	Newport County
England League Two		08-02-2025
Crewe	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Newport County
England League Two		28-09-2024
Newport County	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Crewe
England League Two		29-12-2023
Newport County	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Crewe
England League Two		15-08-2023
Crewe	4-2 (HT 1-1)	Newport County