Football Prediction: Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield

Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadium MK

2.26
W L W D D D

SCHEDULED -

1.34

W L W W L L

Kick Off: 04-01-2026 13:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Milton Keynes Dons and Chesterfield face each other in the England League Two match on Sunday 4th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Milton Keynes Dons have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Chesterfield scored 1.44 goals and conceded 1.29 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.59%

Head to Head Record - Milton Keynes Dons vs. Chesterfield

Date	Competition	Match
04-01-2026	England League Two 2025	Milton Keynes Dons	- (HT -)	Chesterfield
13-09-2025	England League Two 2025	Chesterfield	- (HT -)	Milton Keynes Dons
01-01-2025	England League Two 2024	Chesterfield	1-2 (HT 0-2)	Milton Keynes Dons
03-12-2024	England League Two 2024	Milton Keynes Dons	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Chesterfield

Competition		Date
England League Two		04-01-2026
Milton Keynes Dons	- (HT -)	Chesterfield
England League Two		13-09-2025
Chesterfield	- (HT -)	Milton Keynes Dons
England League Two		01-01-2025
Chesterfield	1-2 (HT 0-2)	Milton Keynes Dons
England League Two		03-12-2024
Milton Keynes Dons	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Chesterfield