Football Prediction: Arsenal vs Leeds | England Premier League

Arsenal vs Leeds

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Emirates Stadium

2.28
W W D L L L

SCHEDULED -

1.20

W W W W W W

Kick Off: 23-08-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Arsenal and Leeds face each other in the England Premier League match on Saturday 23rd of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.33 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.33 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arsenal have scored an average of 2.07 goals and conceded average of 2.07 goals while Leeds scored 1.33 goals and conceded 1.44 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arsenal vs Leeds is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.44%

Head to Head Record - Arsenal vs. Leeds

Date	Competition	Match
31-01-2026	England Premier League 2025	Leeds	- (HT -)	Arsenal
23-08-2025	England Premier League 2025	Arsenal	- (HT -)	Leeds
01-04-2023	England Premier League 2022	Arsenal	4-1 (HT 1-0)	Leeds
16-10-2022	England Premier League 2022	Leeds	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Arsenal
08-05-2022	England Premier League 2021	Arsenal	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Leeds
18-12-2021	England Premier League 2021	Leeds	1-4 (HT 0-3)	Arsenal
14-02-2021	England Premier League 2020	Arsenal	4-2 (HT 3-0)	Leeds
22-11-2020	England Premier League 2020	Leeds	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Arsenal

Competition		Date
England Premier League		31-01-2026
Leeds	- (HT -)	Arsenal
England Premier League		23-08-2025
Arsenal	- (HT -)	Leeds
England Premier League		01-04-2023
Arsenal	4-1 (HT 1-0)	Leeds
England Premier League		16-10-2022
Leeds	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Arsenal
England Premier League		08-05-2022
Arsenal	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Leeds
England Premier League		18-12-2021
Leeds	1-4 (HT 0-3)	Arsenal
England Premier League		14-02-2021
Arsenal	4-2 (HT 3-0)	Leeds
England Premier League		22-11-2020
Leeds	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Arsenal