Saturday 5th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Manchester City vs Burnley

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Etihad Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Manchester City 2.53
D W W W W W
SCHEDULED -
0.83 This is Logo of Away Team: Burnley
W W W W W D
Kick Off: 27-09-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Manchester City and Burnley face each other in the England Premier League match on Saturday 27th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.44 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Manchester City have scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded average of 2.60 goals while Burnley scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.34 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Manchester City vs Burnley is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 65.23%

Head to Head Record - Manchester City vs. Burnley

Date Competition Match
25-04-2026 England Premier League 2025 Burnley - (HT -) Manchester City
27-09-2025 England Premier League 2025 Manchester City - (HT -) Burnley
31-01-2024 England Premier League 2023 Manchester City 3-1 (HT 2-0) Burnley
11-08-2023 England Premier League 2023 Burnley 0-3 (HT 0-2) Manchester City
18-03-2023 England FA Cup 2022 Manchester City 6-0 (HT 2-0) Burnley
02-04-2022 England Premier League 2021 Burnley 0-2 (HT 0-2) Manchester City
16-10-2021 England Premier League 2021 Manchester City 2-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
03-02-2021 England Premier League 2020 Burnley 0-2 (HT 0-2) Manchester City
28-11-2020 England Premier League 2020 Manchester City 5-0 (HT 3-0) Burnley
22-06-2020 England Premier League 2019 Manchester City 5-0 (HT 3-0) Burnley
03-12-2019 England Premier League 2019 Burnley 1-4 (HT 0-1) Manchester City
28-04-2019 England Premier League 2018 Burnley 0-1 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
20-10-2018 England Premier League 2018 Manchester City 5-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
03-02-2018 England Premier League 2017 Burnley 1-1 (HT 0-1) Manchester City
21-10-2017 England Premier League 2017 Manchester City 3-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
02-01-2017 England Premier League 2016 Manchester City 2-1 (HT 0-0) Burnley
26-11-2016 England Premier League 2016 Burnley 1-2 (HT 1-1) Manchester City
14-03-2015 England Premier League 2014 Burnley 1-0 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
28-12-2014 England Premier League 2014 Manchester City 2-2 (HT 2-0) Burnley
Competition Date
England Premier League 25-04-2026
Burnley - (HT -) Manchester City
England Premier League 27-09-2025
Manchester City - (HT -) Burnley
England Premier League 31-01-2024
Manchester City 3-1 (HT 2-0) Burnley
England Premier League 11-08-2023
Burnley 0-3 (HT 0-2) Manchester City
England FA Cup 18-03-2023
Manchester City 6-0 (HT 2-0) Burnley
England Premier League 02-04-2022
Burnley 0-2 (HT 0-2) Manchester City
England Premier League 16-10-2021
Manchester City 2-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 03-02-2021
Burnley 0-2 (HT 0-2) Manchester City
England Premier League 28-11-2020
Manchester City 5-0 (HT 3-0) Burnley
England Premier League 22-06-2020
Manchester City 5-0 (HT 3-0) Burnley
England Premier League 03-12-2019
Burnley 1-4 (HT 0-1) Manchester City
England Premier League 28-04-2019
Burnley 0-1 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
England Premier League 20-10-2018
Manchester City 5-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 03-02-2018
Burnley 1-1 (HT 0-1) Manchester City
England Premier League 21-10-2017
Manchester City 3-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 02-01-2017
Manchester City 2-1 (HT 0-0) Burnley
England Premier League 26-11-2016
Burnley 1-2 (HT 1-1) Manchester City
England Premier League 14-03-2015
Burnley 1-0 (HT 0-0) Manchester City
England Premier League 28-12-2014
Manchester City 2-2 (HT 2-0) Burnley