Saturday 2nd of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Burnley vs Newcastle

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Turf Moor Stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Burnley 1.29
W W W W W D
SCHEDULED -
1.26 This is Logo of Away Team: Newcastle
L L W D W L
Kick Off: 30-12-2025 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Burnley and Newcastle face each other in the England Premier League match on Tuesday 30th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.57 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Burnley have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Newcastle scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.58 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Burnley vs Newcastle is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.92%

Head to Head Record - Burnley vs. Newcastle

Date Competition Match
30-12-2025 England Premier League 2025 Burnley - (HT -) Newcastle
06-12-2025 England Premier League 2025 Newcastle - (HT -) Burnley
04-05-2024 England Premier League 2023 Burnley 1-4 (HT 0-3) Newcastle
30-09-2023 England Premier League 2023 Newcastle 2-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
22-05-2022 England Premier League 2021 Burnley 1-2 (HT 0-1) Newcastle
04-12-2021 England Premier League 2021 Newcastle 1-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
11-04-2021 England Premier League 2020 Burnley 1-2 (HT 1-0) Newcastle
03-10-2020 England Premier League 2020 Newcastle 3-1 (HT 1-0) Burnley
29-02-2020 England Premier League 2019 Newcastle 0-0 (HT 0-0) Burnley
14-12-2019 England Premier League 2019 Burnley 1-0 (HT 0-0) Newcastle
26-02-2019 England Premier League 2018 Newcastle 2-0 (HT 2-0) Burnley
26-11-2018 England Premier League 2018 Burnley 1-2 (HT 1-2) Newcastle
31-01-2018 England Premier League 2017 Newcastle 1-1 (HT 0-0) Burnley
30-10-2017 England Premier League 2017 Burnley 1-0 (HT 0-0) Newcastle
01-01-2015 England Premier League 2014 Newcastle 3-3 (HT 2-1) Burnley
02-12-2014 England Premier League 2014 Burnley 1-1 (HT 1-0) Newcastle
Competition Date
England Premier League 30-12-2025
Burnley - (HT -) Newcastle
England Premier League 06-12-2025
Newcastle - (HT -) Burnley
England Premier League 04-05-2024
Burnley 1-4 (HT 0-3) Newcastle
England Premier League 30-09-2023
Newcastle 2-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 22-05-2022
Burnley 1-2 (HT 0-1) Newcastle
England Premier League 04-12-2021
Newcastle 1-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 11-04-2021
Burnley 1-2 (HT 1-0) Newcastle
England Premier League 03-10-2020
Newcastle 3-1 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 29-02-2020
Newcastle 0-0 (HT 0-0) Burnley
England Premier League 14-12-2019
Burnley 1-0 (HT 0-0) Newcastle
England Premier League 26-02-2019
Newcastle 2-0 (HT 2-0) Burnley
England Premier League 26-11-2018
Burnley 1-2 (HT 1-2) Newcastle
England Premier League 31-01-2018
Newcastle 1-1 (HT 0-0) Burnley
England Premier League 30-10-2017
Burnley 1-0 (HT 0-0) Newcastle
England Premier League 01-01-2015
Newcastle 3-3 (HT 2-1) Burnley
England Premier League 02-12-2014
Burnley 1-1 (HT 1-0) Newcastle