Friday 4th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Newcastle vs Leeds

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: St James Park

This is Logo of Home Team: Newcastle 1.27
L L W D W L
SCHEDULED -
1.18 This is Logo of Away Team: Leeds
W W W W W W
Kick Off: 07-01-2026 21:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Newcastle and Leeds face each other in the England Premier League match on Wednesday 7th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.75 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Newcastle have scored an average of 1.61 goals and conceded average of 1.61 goals while Leeds scored 1.33 goals and conceded 1.44 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Newcastle vs Leeds is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.77%

Head to Head Record - Newcastle vs. Leeds

Date Competition Match
07-01-2026 England Premier League 2025 Newcastle - (HT -) Leeds
30-08-2025 England Premier League 2025 Leeds - (HT -) Newcastle
13-05-2023 England Premier League 2022 Leeds 2-2 (HT 1-1) Newcastle
31-12-2022 England Premier League 2022 Newcastle 0-0 (HT 0-0) Leeds
22-01-2022 England Premier League 2021 Leeds 0-1 (HT 0-0) Newcastle
17-09-2021 England Premier League 2021 Newcastle 1-1 (HT 1-1) Leeds
26-01-2021 England Premier League 2020 Newcastle 1-2 (HT 0-1) Leeds
16-12-2020 England Premier League 2020 Leeds 5-2 (HT 1-1) Newcastle
14-04-2017 England Championship 2016 Newcastle 1-1 (HT 0-0) Leeds
20-11-2016 England Championship 2016 Leeds 0-2 (HT 0-1) Newcastle
Competition Date
England Premier League 07-01-2026
Newcastle - (HT -) Leeds
England Premier League 30-08-2025
Leeds - (HT -) Newcastle
England Premier League 13-05-2023
Leeds 2-2 (HT 1-1) Newcastle
England Premier League 31-12-2022
Newcastle 0-0 (HT 0-0) Leeds
England Premier League 22-01-2022
Leeds 0-1 (HT 0-0) Newcastle
England Premier League 17-09-2021
Newcastle 1-1 (HT 1-1) Leeds
England Premier League 26-01-2021
Newcastle 1-2 (HT 0-1) Leeds
England Premier League 16-12-2020
Leeds 5-2 (HT 1-1) Newcastle
England Championship 14-04-2017
Newcastle 1-1 (HT 0-0) Leeds
England Championship 20-11-2016
Leeds 0-2 (HT 0-1) Newcastle