Football Prediction: Leeds vs Arsenal | England Premier League

Leeds vs Arsenal

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Elland Road Stadium

1.04
W W W W W W

SCHEDULED -

1.49

W W D L L L

Kick Off: 31-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Leeds and Arsenal face each other in the England Premier League match on Saturday 31st of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.33 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.67 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Leeds have scored an average of 1.50 goals and conceded average of 1.50 goals while Arsenal scored 1.66 goals and conceded 1.27 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Leeds vs Arsenal is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.64%

Head to Head Record - Leeds vs. Arsenal

Date	Competition	Match
31-01-2026	England Premier League 2025	Leeds	- (HT -)	Arsenal
23-08-2025	England Premier League 2025	Arsenal	- (HT -)	Leeds
01-04-2023	England Premier League 2022	Arsenal	4-1 (HT 1-0)	Leeds
16-10-2022	England Premier League 2022	Leeds	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Arsenal
08-05-2022	England Premier League 2021	Arsenal	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Leeds
18-12-2021	England Premier League 2021	Leeds	1-4 (HT 0-3)	Arsenal
14-02-2021	England Premier League 2020	Arsenal	4-2 (HT 3-0)	Leeds
22-11-2020	England Premier League 2020	Leeds	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Arsenal

Competition		Date
England Premier League		31-01-2026
Leeds	- (HT -)	Arsenal
England Premier League		23-08-2025
Arsenal	- (HT -)	Leeds
England Premier League		01-04-2023
Arsenal	4-1 (HT 1-0)	Leeds
England Premier League		16-10-2022
Leeds	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Arsenal
England Premier League		08-05-2022
Arsenal	2-1 (HT 2-0)	Leeds
England Premier League		18-12-2021
Leeds	1-4 (HT 0-3)	Arsenal
England Premier League		14-02-2021
Arsenal	4-2 (HT 3-0)	Leeds
England Premier League		22-11-2020
Leeds	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Arsenal