Wednesday 2nd of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Chelsea vs Burnley

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stamford Bridge stadium

This is Logo of Home Team: Chelsea 1.79
D W L W W W
SCHEDULED -
1.07 This is Logo of Away Team: Burnley
W W W W W D
Kick Off: 21-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
Chelsea and Burnley face each other in the England Premier League match on Saturday 21st of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.13 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Chelsea have scored an average of 2.05 goals and conceded average of 2.05 goals while Burnley scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.34 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Chelsea vs Burnley is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.53%

Head to Head Record - Chelsea vs. Burnley

Date Competition Match
21-02-2026 England Premier League 2025 Chelsea - (HT -) Burnley
22-11-2025 England Premier League 2025 Burnley - (HT -) Chelsea
30-03-2024 England Premier League 2023 Chelsea 2-2 (HT 1-0) Burnley
07-10-2023 England Premier League 2023 Burnley 1-4 (HT 1-1) Chelsea
05-03-2022 England Premier League 2021 Burnley 0-4 (HT 0-0) Chelsea
06-11-2021 England Premier League 2021 Chelsea 1-1 (HT 1-0) Burnley
31-01-2021 England Premier League 2020 Chelsea 2-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
31-10-2020 England Premier League 2020 Burnley 0-3 (HT 0-1) Chelsea
11-01-2020 England Premier League 2019 Chelsea 3-0 (HT 2-0) Burnley
26-10-2019 England Premier League 2019 Burnley 2-4 (HT 0-2) Chelsea
22-04-2019 England Premier League 2018 Chelsea 2-2 (HT 2-2) Burnley
28-10-2018 England Premier League 2018 Burnley 0-4 (HT 0-1) Chelsea
19-04-2018 England Premier League 2017 Burnley 1-2 (HT 0-1) Chelsea
12-08-2017 England Premier League 2017 Chelsea 2-3 (HT 0-3) Burnley
12-02-2017 England Premier League 2016 Burnley 1-1 (HT 1-1) Chelsea
27-08-2016 England Premier League 2016 Chelsea 3-0 (HT 2-0) Burnley
21-02-2015 England Premier League 2014 Chelsea 1-1 (HT 1-0) Burnley
18-08-2014 England Premier League 2014 Burnley 1-3 (HT 1-3) Chelsea
Competition Date
England Premier League 21-02-2026
Chelsea - (HT -) Burnley
England Premier League 22-11-2025
Burnley - (HT -) Chelsea
England Premier League 30-03-2024
Chelsea 2-2 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 07-10-2023
Burnley 1-4 (HT 1-1) Chelsea
England Premier League 05-03-2022
Burnley 0-4 (HT 0-0) Chelsea
England Premier League 06-11-2021
Chelsea 1-1 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 31-01-2021
Chelsea 2-0 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 31-10-2020
Burnley 0-3 (HT 0-1) Chelsea
England Premier League 11-01-2020
Chelsea 3-0 (HT 2-0) Burnley
England Premier League 26-10-2019
Burnley 2-4 (HT 0-2) Chelsea
England Premier League 22-04-2019
Chelsea 2-2 (HT 2-2) Burnley
England Premier League 28-10-2018
Burnley 0-4 (HT 0-1) Chelsea
England Premier League 19-04-2018
Burnley 1-2 (HT 0-1) Chelsea
England Premier League 12-08-2017
Chelsea 2-3 (HT 0-3) Burnley
England Premier League 12-02-2017
Burnley 1-1 (HT 1-1) Chelsea
England Premier League 27-08-2016
Chelsea 3-0 (HT 2-0) Burnley
England Premier League 21-02-2015
Chelsea 1-1 (HT 1-0) Burnley
England Premier League 18-08-2014
Burnley 1-3 (HT 1-3) Chelsea