Football Prediction: Burnley vs Aston Villa

Burnley vs Aston Villa

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Turf Moor Stadium

1.41
W W W W W D

SCHEDULED -

1.45

L W W W L L

Kick Off: 09-05-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Burnley and Aston Villa face each other in the England Premier League match on Saturday 9th of May 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.40 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.20 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Burnley have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Aston Villa scored 1.10 goals and conceded 1.52 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Burnley vs Aston Villa is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.43%

Head to Head Record - Burnley vs. Aston Villa

Date	Competition	Match
09-05-2026	England Premier League 2025	Burnley	- (HT -)	Aston Villa
04-10-2025	England Premier League 2025	Aston Villa	- (HT -)	Burnley
30-12-2023	England Premier League 2023	Aston Villa	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Burnley
27-08-2023	England Premier League 2023	Burnley	1-3 (HT 0-2)	Aston Villa
19-05-2022	England Premier League 2021	Aston Villa	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Burnley
07-05-2022	England Premier League 2021	Burnley	1-3 (HT 0-2)	Aston Villa
27-01-2021	England Premier League 2020	Burnley	3-2 (HT 0-1)	Aston Villa
17-12-2020	England Premier League 2020	Aston Villa	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Burnley
01-01-2020	England Premier League 2019	Burnley	1-2 (HT 0-2)	Aston Villa
28-09-2019	England Premier League 2019	Aston Villa	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Burnley
24-05-2015	England Premier League 2014	Aston Villa	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Burnley
29-11-2014	England Premier League 2014	Burnley	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Aston Villa

Competition		Date
England Premier League		09-05-2026
Burnley	- (HT -)	Aston Villa
England Premier League		04-10-2025
Aston Villa	- (HT -)	Burnley
England Premier League		30-12-2023
Aston Villa	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Burnley
England Premier League		27-08-2023
Burnley	1-3 (HT 0-2)	Aston Villa
England Premier League		19-05-2022
Aston Villa	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Burnley
England Premier League		07-05-2022
Burnley	1-3 (HT 0-2)	Aston Villa
England Premier League		27-01-2021
Burnley	3-2 (HT 0-1)	Aston Villa
England Premier League		17-12-2020
Aston Villa	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Burnley
England Premier League		01-01-2020
Burnley	1-2 (HT 0-2)	Aston Villa
England Premier League		28-09-2019
Aston Villa	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Burnley
England Premier League		24-05-2015
Aston Villa	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Burnley
England Premier League		29-11-2014
Burnley	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Aston Villa