Football Prediction: Toulouse vs Lens

Toulouse vs Lens

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadium de Toulouse

1.05
L L W L D D

SCHEDULED -

1.32

D D D D L W

Kick Off: 11-05-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Toulouse and Lens face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Sunday 11th of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.33 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.67 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Toulouse have scored an average of 1.24 goals and conceded average of 1.24 goals while Lens scored 1.10 goals and conceded 1.56 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Toulouse vs Lens is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.91%

Head to Head Record - Toulouse vs. Lens

Date	Competition	Match
11-05-2025	France Ligue 1 2024	Toulouse	- (HT -)	Lens
05-01-2025	France Ligue 1 2024	Lens	- (HT -)	Toulouse
28-01-2024	France Ligue 1 2023	Toulouse	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Lens
24-09-2023	France Ligue 1 2023	Lens	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Toulouse
14-03-2015	France Ligue 1 2014	Lens	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Toulouse
24-10-2014	France Ligue 1 2014	Toulouse	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Lens
12-03-2011	France Ligue 1 2010	Lens	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Toulouse
30-10-2010	France Ligue 1 2010	Toulouse	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Lens

Competition		Date
France Ligue 1		11-05-2025
Toulouse	- (HT -)	Lens
France Ligue 1		05-01-2025
Lens	- (HT -)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		28-01-2024
Toulouse	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Lens
France Ligue 1		24-09-2023
Lens	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		14-03-2015
Lens	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		24-10-2014
Toulouse	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Lens
France Ligue 1		12-03-2011
Lens	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		30-10-2010
Toulouse	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Lens