Football Prediction: Auxerre vs Lorient

Auxerre vs Lorient

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Abbe-Deschamps

1.63
L D L W L L

SCHEDULED -

1.20

W L W D W W

Kick Off: 17-08-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Auxerre and Lorient face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Sunday 17th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Auxerre have scored an average of 1.58 goals and conceded average of 1.58 goals while Lorient scored 1.05 goals and conceded 1.81 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Auxerre vs Lorient is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.73%

Head to Head Record - Auxerre vs. Lorient

Date	Competition	Match
01-03-2026	France Ligue 1 2025	Lorient	- (HT -)	Auxerre
17-08-2025	France Ligue 1 2025	Auxerre	- (HT -)	Lorient
11-02-2012	France Ligue 1 2011	Auxerre	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Lorient
21-09-2011	France Ligue 1 2011	Lorient	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Auxerre
29-05-2011	France Ligue 1 2010	Lorient	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Auxerre
07-08-2010	France Ligue 1 2010	Auxerre	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Lorient

Competition		Date
France Ligue 1		01-03-2026
Lorient	- (HT -)	Auxerre
France Ligue 1		17-08-2025
Auxerre	- (HT -)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		11-02-2012
Auxerre	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		21-09-2011
Lorient	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Auxerre
France Ligue 1		29-05-2011
Lorient	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Auxerre
France Ligue 1		07-08-2010
Auxerre	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Lorient