Metz vs Le Havre

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Municipal Saint-Symphorien Stade

1.13
L D L L L D

SCHEDULED -

0.88

D L W L L W

Kick Off: 28-09-2025 17:15 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Metz and Le Havre face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Sunday 28th of September 2025. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Metz have scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded average of 1.26 goals while Le Havre scored 1.13 goals and conceded 1.64 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Metz vs Le Havre is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.42%

Head to Head Record - Metz vs. Le Havre

Date	Competition	Match
26-04-2026	France Ligue 1 2025	Le Havre	- (HT -)	Metz
28-09-2025	France Ligue 1 2025	Metz	- (HT -)	Le Havre
21-04-2024	France Ligue 1 2023	LE Havre	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Metz
29-10-2023	France Ligue 1 2023	Metz	0-0 (HT 0-0)	LE Havre

Competition		Date
France Ligue 1		26-04-2026
Le Havre	- (HT -)	Metz
France Ligue 1		28-09-2025
Metz	- (HT -)	Le Havre
France Ligue 1		21-04-2024
LE Havre	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		29-10-2023
Metz	0-0 (HT 0-0)	LE Havre

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