Metz vs Marseille

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Municipal Saint-Symphorien Stade

1.15
D L D L L L

SCHEDULED -

1.54

W W L W L W

Kick Off: 04-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Away WIN

Metz and Marseille face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Saturday 4th of October 2025. The two teams have met 13 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.92 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.77 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Metz have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded average of 1.25 goals while Marseille scored 1.35 goals and conceded 1.30 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Metz vs Marseille is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.45%

Head to Head Record - Metz vs. Marseille

Date	Competition	Match
12-04-2026	France Ligue 1 2025	Marseille	- (HT -)	Metz
04-10-2025	France Ligue 1 2025	Metz	- (HT -)	Marseille
09-02-2024	France Ligue 1 2023	Marseille	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Metz
18-08-2023	France Ligue 1 2023	Metz	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Marseille
13-02-2022	France Ligue 1 2021	Metz	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Marseille
07-11-2021	France Ligue 1 2021	Marseille	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Metz
23-05-2021	France Ligue 1 2020	Metz	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Marseille
26-09-2020	France Ligue 1 2020	Marseille	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Metz
14-12-2019	France Ligue 1 2019	Metz	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Marseille
02-02-2018	France Ligue 1 2017	Marseille	6-3 (HT 3-0)	Metz
29-11-2017	France Ligue 1 2017	Metz	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Marseille
03-02-2017	France Ligue 1 2016	Metz	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Marseille
16-10-2016	France Ligue 1 2016	Marseille	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Metz
01-05-2015	France Ligue 1 2014	Metz	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Marseille
07-12-2014	France Ligue 1 2014	Marseille	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Metz

Competition		Date
France Ligue 1		12-04-2026
Marseille	- (HT -)	Metz
France Ligue 1		04-10-2025
Metz	- (HT -)	Marseille
France Ligue 1		09-02-2024
Marseille	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		18-08-2023
Metz	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Marseille
France Ligue 1		13-02-2022
Metz	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Marseille
France Ligue 1		07-11-2021
Marseille	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		23-05-2021
Metz	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Marseille
France Ligue 1		26-09-2020
Marseille	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		14-12-2019
Metz	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Marseille
France Ligue 1		02-02-2018
Marseille	6-3 (HT 3-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		29-11-2017
Metz	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Marseille
France Ligue 1		03-02-2017
Metz	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Marseille
France Ligue 1		16-10-2016
Marseille	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		01-05-2015
Metz	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Marseille
France Ligue 1		07-12-2014
Marseille	3-1 (HT 1-0)	Metz

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