Friday 15th of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Metz vs Marseille

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Municipal Saint-Symphorien Stade

This is Logo of Home Team: Metz 0.29
D D W W D L
SCHEDULED -
0.52 This is Logo of Away Team: Marseille
W W D W W L
Kick Off: 05-10-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for away result - 2 Away WIN
Metz and Marseille face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.86 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.57 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Metz have scored an average of 1.27 goals and conceded average of 1.27 goals while Marseille scored 1.36 goals and conceded 1.30 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Metz vs Marseille is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 95.16%

Head to Head Record - Metz vs. Marseille

Date Competition Match
12-04-2026 France Ligue 1 2025 Marseille - (HT -) Metz
05-10-2025 France Ligue 1 2025 Metz - (HT -) Marseille
09-02-2024 France Ligue 1 2023 Marseille 1-1 (HT 0-0) Metz
18-08-2023 France Ligue 1 2023 Metz 2-2 (HT 0-1) Marseille
13-02-2022 France Ligue 1 2021 Metz 1-2 (HT 0-1) Marseille
07-11-2021 France Ligue 1 2021 Marseille 0-0 (HT 0-0) Metz
23-05-2021 France Ligue 1 2020 Metz 1-1 (HT 0-0) Marseille
26-09-2020 France Ligue 1 2020 Marseille 1-1 (HT 0-0) Metz
14-12-2019 France Ligue 1 2019 Metz 1-1 (HT 1-0) Marseille
02-02-2018 France Ligue 1 2017 Marseille 6-3 (HT 3-0) Metz
29-11-2017 France Ligue 1 2017 Metz 0-3 (HT 0-2) Marseille
03-02-2017 France Ligue 1 2016 Metz 1-0 (HT 0-0) Marseille
16-10-2016 France Ligue 1 2016 Marseille 1-0 (HT 1-0) Metz
01-05-2015 France Ligue 1 2014 Metz 0-2 (HT 0-1) Marseille
07-12-2014 France Ligue 1 2014 Marseille 3-1 (HT 1-0) Metz
Competition Date
France Ligue 1 12-04-2026
Marseille - (HT -) Metz
France Ligue 1 05-10-2025
Metz - (HT -) Marseille
France Ligue 1 09-02-2024
Marseille 1-1 (HT 0-0) Metz
France Ligue 1 18-08-2023
Metz 2-2 (HT 0-1) Marseille
France Ligue 1 13-02-2022
Metz 1-2 (HT 0-1) Marseille
France Ligue 1 07-11-2021
Marseille 0-0 (HT 0-0) Metz
France Ligue 1 23-05-2021
Metz 1-1 (HT 0-0) Marseille
France Ligue 1 26-09-2020
Marseille 1-1 (HT 0-0) Metz
France Ligue 1 14-12-2019
Metz 1-1 (HT 1-0) Marseille
France Ligue 1 02-02-2018
Marseille 6-3 (HT 3-0) Metz
France Ligue 1 29-11-2017
Metz 0-3 (HT 0-2) Marseille
France Ligue 1 03-02-2017
Metz 1-0 (HT 0-0) Marseille
France Ligue 1 16-10-2016
Marseille 1-0 (HT 1-0) Metz
France Ligue 1 01-05-2015
Metz 0-2 (HT 0-1) Marseille
France Ligue 1 07-12-2014
Marseille 3-1 (HT 1-0) Metz