Football Prediction: Metz vs Auxerre

Metz vs Auxerre

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Municipal Saint-Symphorien Stade

0.89
L L L D D W

SCHEDULED -

0.91

L L W L D L

Kick Off: 15-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Metz and Auxerre face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Sunday 15th of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Metz have scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded average of 1.26 goals while Auxerre scored 1.23 goals and conceded 1.43 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Metz vs Auxerre is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 72.94%

Head to Head Record - Metz vs. Auxerre

Date	Competition	Match
15-02-2026	France Ligue 1 2025	Metz	- (HT -)	Auxerre
07-12-2025	France Ligue 1 2025	Auxerre	- (HT -)	Metz

Competition		Date
France Ligue 1		15-02-2026
Metz	- (HT -)	Auxerre
France Ligue 1		07-12-2025
Auxerre	- (HT -)	Metz