Football Prediction: Lorient vs Auxerre

Lorient vs Auxerre

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: du Moustoir Stade

1.69
L W L W L W

SCHEDULED -

1.78

L L W L D L

Kick Off: 01-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Lorient and Auxerre face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Sunday 1st of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Lorient have scored an average of 1.51 goals and conceded average of 1.51 goals while Auxerre scored 1.23 goals and conceded 1.43 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Lorient vs Auxerre is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.31%

Head to Head Record - Lorient vs. Auxerre

Date	Competition	Match
01-03-2026	France Ligue 1 2025	Lorient	- (HT -)	Auxerre
17-08-2025	France Ligue 1 2025	Auxerre	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Lorient
11-02-2012	France Ligue 1 2011	Auxerre	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Lorient
21-09-2011	France Ligue 1 2011	Lorient	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Auxerre
29-05-2011	France Ligue 1 2010	Lorient	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Auxerre
07-08-2010	France Ligue 1 2010	Auxerre	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Lorient

Competition		Date
France Ligue 1		01-03-2026
Lorient	- (HT -)	Auxerre
France Ligue 1		17-08-2025
Auxerre	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		11-02-2012
Auxerre	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		21-09-2011
Lorient	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Auxerre
France Ligue 1		29-05-2011
Lorient	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Auxerre
France Ligue 1		07-08-2010
Auxerre	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Lorient