Metz vs Toulouse

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Municipal Saint-Symphorien Stade

1.24
D L D L L L

SCHEDULED -

1.33

D L L L W W

Kick Off: 15-03-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Metz and Toulouse face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Sunday 15th of March 2026. The two teams have met 9 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.56 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Metz have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded average of 1.25 goals while Toulouse scored 0.94 goals and conceded 1.48 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Metz vs Toulouse is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.52%

Head to Head Record - Metz vs. Toulouse

Date	Competition	Match
15-03-2026	France Ligue 1 2025	Metz	- (HT -)	Toulouse
19-10-2025	France Ligue 1 2025	Toulouse	- (HT -)	Metz
14-01-2024	France Ligue 1 2023	Metz	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Toulouse
01-10-2023	France Ligue 1 2023	Toulouse	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Metz
28-09-2019	France Ligue 1 2019	Metz	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Toulouse
03-03-2018	France Ligue 1 2017	Metz	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Toulouse
18-11-2017	France Ligue 1 2017	Toulouse	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Metz
14-05-2017	France Ligue 1 2016	Metz	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Toulouse
19-11-2016	France Ligue 1 2016	Toulouse	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Metz
04-04-2015	France Ligue 1 2014	Metz	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Toulouse
08-11-2014	France Ligue 1 2014	Toulouse	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Metz

Competition		Date
France Ligue 1		15-03-2026
Metz	- (HT -)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		19-10-2025
Toulouse	- (HT -)	Metz
France Ligue 1		14-01-2024
Metz	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		01-10-2023
Toulouse	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		28-09-2019
Metz	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		03-03-2018
Metz	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		18-11-2017
Toulouse	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		14-05-2017
Metz	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		19-11-2016
Toulouse	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Metz
France Ligue 1		04-04-2015
Metz	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Toulouse
France Ligue 1		08-11-2014
Toulouse	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Metz

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