Metz vs Lorient

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Municipal Saint-Symphorien Stade

1.52
L D L L L D

SCHEDULED -

1.54

W D L L W L

Kick Off: 09-05-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and DRAW

Metz and Lorient face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Saturday 9th of May 2026. The two teams have met 12 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.08 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Metz have scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded average of 1.26 goals while Lorient scored 1.04 goals and conceded 1.82 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Metz vs Lorient is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.14%

Head to Head Record - Metz vs. Lorient

Date	Competition	Match
09-05-2026	France Ligue 1 2025	Metz	- (HT -)	Lorient
04-01-2026	France Ligue 1 2025	Lorient	- (HT -)	Metz
11-01-2025	France Ligue 2 2024	Lorient	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Metz
21-09-2024	France Ligue 2 2024	Metz	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Lorient
04-02-2024	France Ligue 1 2023	Metz	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Lorient
26-11-2023	France Ligue 1 2023	Lorient	2-3 (HT 2-1)	Metz
20-04-2022	France Ligue 1 2021	Lorient	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Metz
12-12-2021	France Ligue 1 2021	Metz	4-1 (HT 3-0)	Lorient
16-05-2021	France Ligue 1 2020	Lorient	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Metz
04-10-2020	France Ligue 1 2020	Metz	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Lorient
22-04-2017	France Ligue 1 2016	Lorient	5-1 (HT 1-1)	Metz
26-11-2016	France Ligue 1 2016	Metz	3-3 (HT 1-1)	Lorient
09-05-2015	France Ligue 1 2014	Metz	0-4 (HT 0-2)	Lorient
13-12-2014	France Ligue 1 2014	Lorient	3-1 (HT 3-0)	Metz

Competition		Date
France Ligue 1		09-05-2026
Metz	- (HT -)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		04-01-2026
Lorient	- (HT -)	Metz
France Ligue 2		11-01-2025
Lorient	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Metz
France Ligue 2		21-09-2024
Metz	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		04-02-2024
Metz	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		26-11-2023
Lorient	2-3 (HT 2-1)	Metz
France Ligue 1		20-04-2022
Lorient	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		12-12-2021
Metz	4-1 (HT 3-0)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		16-05-2021
Lorient	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Metz
France Ligue 1		04-10-2020
Metz	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		22-04-2017
Lorient	5-1 (HT 1-1)	Metz
France Ligue 1		26-11-2016
Metz	3-3 (HT 1-1)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		09-05-2015
Metz	0-4 (HT 0-2)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		13-12-2014
Lorient	3-1 (HT 3-0)	Metz

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