Football Prediction: Lorient vs Le Havre

Lorient vs Le Havre

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: du Moustoir Stade

2.39
L W L W D W

SCHEDULED -

2.31

L W L W D L

Kick Off: 16-05-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Lorient and Le Havre face each other in the France Ligue 1 match on Saturday 16th of May 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Lorient have scored an average of 1.50 goals and conceded average of 1.50 goals while Le Havre scored 1.16 goals and conceded 1.66 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Lorient vs Le Havre is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69.04%

Head to Head Record - Lorient vs. Le Havre

Date	Competition	Match
16-05-2026	France Ligue 1 2025	Lorient	- (HT -)	Le Havre
21-09-2025	France Ligue 1 2025	Le Havre	- (HT -)	Lorient
28-01-2024	France Ligue 1 2023	Lorient	3-3 (HT 1-1)	LE Havre
03-09-2023	France Ligue 1 2023	LE Havre	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Lorient

Competition		Date
France Ligue 1		16-05-2026
Lorient	- (HT -)	Le Havre
France Ligue 1		21-09-2025
Le Havre	- (HT -)	Lorient
France Ligue 1		28-01-2024
Lorient	3-3 (HT 1-1)	LE Havre
France Ligue 1		03-09-2023
LE Havre	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Lorient