Football Prediction: Grenoble vs Bastia

Grenoble vs Bastia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stade des Alpes

1.51
L W W L L W

SCHEDULED -

0.98

W D L L W D

Kick Off: 26-09-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Grenoble and Bastia face each other in the France Ligue 2 match on Friday 26th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Grenoble have scored an average of 1.32 goals and conceded average of 1.32 goals while Bastia scored 0.88 goals and conceded 1.71 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Grenoble vs Bastia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.62%

Head to Head Record - Grenoble vs. Bastia

Date	Competition	Match
02-01-2026	France Ligue 2 2025	Bastia	- (HT -)	Grenoble
26-09-2025	France Ligue 2 2025	Grenoble	- (HT -)	Bastia
25-04-2025	France Ligue 2 2024	Bastia	2-3 (HT 1-1)	Grenoble
03-01-2025	France Ligue 2 2024	Grenoble	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Bastia
02-03-2024	France Ligue 2 2023	Bastia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Grenoble
02-09-2023	France Ligue 2 2023	Grenoble	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Bastia

Competition		Date
France Ligue 2		02-01-2026
Bastia	- (HT -)	Grenoble
France Ligue 2		26-09-2025
Grenoble	- (HT -)	Bastia
France Ligue 2		25-04-2025
Bastia	2-3 (HT 1-1)	Grenoble
France Ligue 2		03-01-2025
Grenoble	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Bastia
France Ligue 2		02-03-2024
Bastia	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Grenoble
France Ligue 2		02-09-2023
Grenoble	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Bastia