Saint Etienne vs Bastia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

1.66
L W W W D W

SCHEDULED -

0.82

D L L L D L

Kick Off: 12-12-2025 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and Home WIN

Saint Etienne and Bastia face each other in the France Ligue 2 match on Friday 12th of December 2025. The two teams have met 12 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.83 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Saint Etienne have scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded average of 1.47 goals while Bastia scored 0.85 goals and conceded 1.68 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Saint Etienne vs Bastia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.75%

Head to Head Record - Saint Etienne vs. Bastia

Date	Competition	Match
17-04-2026	France Ligue 2 2025	Bastia	- (HT -)	Saint Etienne
12-12-2025	France Ligue 2 2025	Saint Etienne	- (HT -)	Bastia
16-03-2024	France Ligue 2 2023	Bastia	0-4 (HT 0-2)	Saint Etienne
19-12-2023	France Ligue 2 2023	Saint Etienne	3-2 (HT 2-0)	Bastia
04-03-2017	France Ligue 1 2016	SC Bastia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Saint Etienne
18-09-2016	France Ligue 1 2016	Saint Etienne	1-0 (HT 0-0)	SC Bastia
16-04-2016	France Ligue 1 2015	Bastia	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Saint Etienne
30-08-2015	France Ligue 1 2015	Saint Etienne	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Bastia
02-05-2015	France Ligue 1 2014	Bastia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Saint Etienne
06-12-2014	France Ligue 1 2014	Saint Etienne	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bastia
22-02-2014	France Ligue 1 2013	Bastia	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Saint Etienne
28-09-2013	France Ligue 1 2013	Saint Etienne	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
27-01-2013	France Ligue 1 2012	Saint Etienne	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
01-09-2012	France Ligue 1 2012	Bastia	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Saint Etienne

Competition		Date
France Ligue 2		17-04-2026
Bastia	- (HT -)	Saint Etienne
France Ligue 2		12-12-2025
Saint Etienne	- (HT -)	Bastia
France Ligue 2		16-03-2024
Bastia	0-4 (HT 0-2)	Saint Etienne
France Ligue 2		19-12-2023
Saint Etienne	3-2 (HT 2-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 1		04-03-2017
SC Bastia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Saint Etienne
France Ligue 1		18-09-2016
Saint Etienne	1-0 (HT 0-0)	SC Bastia
France Ligue 1		16-04-2016
Bastia	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Saint Etienne
France Ligue 1		30-08-2015
Saint Etienne	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Bastia
France Ligue 1		02-05-2015
Bastia	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Saint Etienne
France Ligue 1		06-12-2014
Saint Etienne	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 1		22-02-2014
Bastia	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Saint Etienne
France Ligue 1		28-09-2013
Saint Etienne	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 1		27-01-2013
Saint Etienne	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 1		01-09-2012
Bastia	0-3 (HT 0-2)	Saint Etienne

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