Football Prediction: Bastia vs Nancy

Bastia vs Nancy

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stade Armand-Césari

1.60
W D L L W D

SCHEDULED -

0.83

L W W L L L

Kick Off: 30-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Bastia and Nancy face each other in the France Ligue 2 match on Friday 30th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.67 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bastia have scored an average of 1.31 goals and conceded average of 1.31 goals while Nancy scored 0.86 goals and conceded 1.49 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bastia vs Nancy is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.26%

Head to Head Record - Bastia vs. Nancy

Date	Competition	Match
30-01-2026	France Ligue 2 2025	Bastia	- (HT -)	Nancy
28-10-2025	France Ligue 2 2025	Nancy	- (HT -)	Bastia
29-11-2024	France Coupe de France 2024	Bastia	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Nancy
14-01-2017	France Ligue 1 2016	Nancy	1-0 (HT 0-0)	SC Bastia
21-09-2016	France Ligue 1 2016	SC Bastia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Nancy
18-05-2013	France Ligue 1 2012	Nancy	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Bastia
22-12-2012	France Ligue 1 2012	Bastia	4-2 (HT 3-0)	Nancy

Competition		Date
France Ligue 2		30-01-2026
Bastia	- (HT -)	Nancy
France Ligue 2		28-10-2025
Nancy	- (HT -)	Bastia
France Coupe de France		29-11-2024
Bastia	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Nancy
France Ligue 1		14-01-2017
Nancy	1-0 (HT 0-0)	SC Bastia
France Ligue 1		21-09-2016
SC Bastia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Nancy
France Ligue 1		18-05-2013
Nancy	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 1		22-12-2012
Bastia	4-2 (HT 3-0)	Nancy