Bastia vs Estac Troyes

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stade Armand Cesari

1.40
D L L L D L

SCHEDULED -

1.00

W W W W L W

Kick Off: 13-02-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Bastia and Estac Troyes face each other in the France Ligue 2 match on Friday 13th of February 2026. The two teams have met 8 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.13 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.13 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Bastia have scored an average of 1.31 goals and conceded average of 1.31 goals while Estac Troyes scored 0.90 goals and conceded 1.75 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Bastia vs Estac Troyes is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.94%

Head to Head Record - Bastia vs. Estac Troyes

Date	Competition	Match
13-02-2026	France Ligue 2 2025	Bastia	- (HT -)	Estac Troyes
17-10-2025	France Ligue 2 2025	Estac Troyes	- (HT -)	Bastia
28-02-2025	France Ligue 2 2024	Estac Troyes	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
13-09-2024	France Ligue 2 2024	Bastia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Estac Troyes
09-03-2024	France Ligue 2 2023	Estac Troyes	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
26-08-2023	France Ligue 2 2023	Bastia	3-2 (HT 0-2)	Estac Troyes
06-02-2016	France Ligue 1 2015	Bastia	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Estac Troyes
12-12-2015	France Ligue 1 2015	Estac Troyes	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Bastia
23-02-2013	France Ligue 1 2012	Estac Troyes	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Bastia
06-10-2012	France Ligue 1 2012	Bastia	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Estac Troyes

Competition		Date
France Ligue 2		13-02-2026
Bastia	- (HT -)	Estac Troyes
France Ligue 2		17-10-2025
Estac Troyes	- (HT -)	Bastia
France Ligue 2		28-02-2025
Estac Troyes	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 2		13-09-2024
Bastia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Estac Troyes
France Ligue 2		09-03-2024
Estac Troyes	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 2		26-08-2023
Bastia	3-2 (HT 0-2)	Estac Troyes
France Ligue 1		06-02-2016
Bastia	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Estac Troyes
France Ligue 1		12-12-2015
Estac Troyes	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Bastia
France Ligue 1		23-02-2013
Estac Troyes	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 1		06-10-2012
Bastia	3-2 (HT 2-1)	Estac Troyes

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