PAU vs Bastia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.57
W W W L D W

SCHEDULED -

1.11

D L L L D L

Kick Off: 06-03-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

PAU and Bastia face each other in the France Ligue 2 match on Friday 6th of March 2026. The two teams have met 5 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.60 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.20 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches PAU have scored an average of 1.41 goals and conceded average of 1.41 goals while Bastia scored 0.85 goals and conceded 1.68 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for PAU vs Bastia is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.12%

Head to Head Record - PAU vs. Bastia

Date	Competition	Match
06-03-2026	France Ligue 2 2025	PAU	- (HT -)	Bastia
15-08-2025	France Ligue 2 2025	Bastia	1-1 (HT 1-0)	PAU
24-01-2025	France Ligue 2 2024	Bastia	1-1 (HT 0-0)	PAU
22-10-2024	France Ligue 2 2024	PAU	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
10-05-2024	France Ligue 2 2023	PAU	1-2 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
26-09-2023	France Ligue 2 2023	Bastia	1-4 (HT 0-1)	PAU

Competition		Date
France Ligue 2		06-03-2026
PAU	- (HT -)	Bastia
France Ligue 2		15-08-2025
Bastia	1-1 (HT 1-0)	PAU
France Ligue 2		24-01-2025
Bastia	1-1 (HT 0-0)	PAU
France Ligue 2		22-10-2024
PAU	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 2		10-05-2024
PAU	1-2 (HT 1-0)	Bastia
France Ligue 2		26-09-2023
Bastia	1-4 (HT 0-1)	PAU

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