Football Prediction: Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Ingolstadt 04

Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Ingolstadt 04

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Erzgebirgsstadion

1.38
L L W D L W

SCHEDULED -

0.69

D W L D L L

Kick Off: 03-05-2025 14:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Erzgebirge Aue and FC Ingolstadt 04 face each other in the Germany 3. Liga match on Saturday 3rd of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Erzgebirge Aue have scored an average of 1.56 goals and conceded average of 1.56 goals while FC Ingolstadt 04 scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.59 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 65.68%

Head to Head Record - Erzgebirge Aue vs. FC Ingolstadt 04

Date	Competition	Match
03-05-2025	Germany 3. Liga 2024	Erzgebirge Aue	- (HT -)	FC Ingolstadt 04
07-12-2024	Germany 3. Liga 2024	FC Ingolstadt 04	- (HT -)	Erzgebirge Aue
19-12-2023	Germany 3. Liga 2023	FC Ingolstadt 04	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Erzgebirge AUE
06-08-2023	Germany 3. Liga 2023	Erzgebirge AUE	1-0 (HT 0-0)	FC Ingolstadt 04

Competition		Date
Germany 3. Liga		03-05-2025
Erzgebirge Aue	- (HT -)	FC Ingolstadt 04
Germany 3. Liga		07-12-2024
FC Ingolstadt 04	- (HT -)	Erzgebirge Aue
Germany 3. Liga		19-12-2023
FC Ingolstadt 04	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Erzgebirge AUE
Germany 3. Liga		06-08-2023
Erzgebirge AUE	1-0 (HT 0-0)	FC Ingolstadt 04