Football Prediction: MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue

MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: MSV-Arena

2.13
W W W W L D

SCHEDULED -

1.99

L W L D D L

Kick Off: 13-12-2025 14:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

MSV Duisburg and Erzgebirge Aue face each other in the Germany 3. Liga match on Saturday 13th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches MSV Duisburg have scored an average of 1.43 goals and conceded average of 1.43 goals while Erzgebirge Aue scored 1.15 goals and conceded 1.88 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 77.88%

Head to Head Record - MSV Duisburg vs. Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Competition	Match
09-05-2026	Germany 3. Liga 2025	Erzgebirge Aue	- (HT -)	MSV Duisburg
13-12-2025	Germany 3. Liga 2025	MSV Duisburg	- (HT -)	Erzgebirge Aue
12-05-2024	Germany 3. Liga 2023	MSV Duisburg	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Erzgebirge AUE
09-12-2023	Germany 3. Liga 2023	Erzgebirge AUE	1-1 (HT 1-0)	MSV Duisburg

Competition		Date
Germany 3. Liga		09-05-2026
Erzgebirge Aue	- (HT -)	MSV Duisburg
Germany 3. Liga		13-12-2025
MSV Duisburg	- (HT -)	Erzgebirge Aue
Germany 3. Liga		12-05-2024
MSV Duisburg	2-2 (HT 0-1)	Erzgebirge AUE
Germany 3. Liga		09-12-2023
Erzgebirge AUE	1-1 (HT 1-0)	MSV Duisburg