Football Prediction: Hansa Rostock vs Erzgebirge Aue

Hansa Rostock vs Erzgebirge Aue

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: DKB-Arena

2.43
D L L W W W

SCHEDULED -

1.16

D D L W L W

Kick Off: 17-01-2026 14:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Hansa Rostock and Erzgebirge Aue face each other in the Germany 3. Liga match on Saturday 17th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Hansa Rostock have scored an average of 1.46 goals and conceded average of 1.46 goals while Erzgebirge Aue scored 1.18 goals and conceded 1.84 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Hansa Rostock vs Erzgebirge Aue is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 69.62%

Head to Head Record - Hansa Rostock vs. Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Competition	Match
17-01-2026	Germany 3. Liga 2025	Hansa Rostock	- (HT -)	Erzgebirge Aue
03-08-2025	Germany 3. Liga 2025	Erzgebirge Aue	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Hansa Rostock
12-03-2025	Germany 3. Liga 2024	Hansa Rostock	4-1 (HT 3-1)	Erzgebirge Aue
05-10-2024	Germany 3. Liga 2024	Erzgebirge Aue	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Hansa Rostock

Competition		Date
Germany 3. Liga		17-01-2026
Hansa Rostock	- (HT -)	Erzgebirge Aue
Germany 3. Liga		03-08-2025
Erzgebirge Aue	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Hansa Rostock
Germany 3. Liga		12-03-2025
Hansa Rostock	4-1 (HT 3-1)	Erzgebirge Aue
Germany 3. Liga		05-10-2024
Erzgebirge Aue	1-2 (HT 1-1)	Hansa Rostock