Football Prediction: Erzgebirge Aue vs SSV Ulm 1846

Erzgebirge Aue vs SSV Ulm 1846

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Erzgebirgsstadion

1.64
L D D L W L

SCHEDULED -

1.90

W L D L L W

Kick Off: 24-01-2026 14:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Erzgebirge Aue and SSV Ulm 1846 face each other in the Germany 3. Liga match on Saturday 24th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Erzgebirge Aue have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while SSV Ulm 1846 scored 1.24 goals and conceded 1.35 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Erzgebirge Aue vs SSV Ulm 1846 is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.94%

Head to Head Record - Erzgebirge Aue vs. SSV Ulm 1846

Date	Competition	Match
24-01-2026	Germany 3. Liga 2025	Erzgebirge Aue	- (HT -)	SSV Ulm 1846
09-08-2025	Germany 3. Liga 2025	SSV Ulm 1846	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Erzgebirge Aue
30-03-2024	Germany 3. Liga 2023	SSV ULM 1846	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Erzgebirge AUE
22-10-2023	Germany 3. Liga 2023	Erzgebirge AUE	1-2 (HT 1-0)	SSV ULM 1846

Competition		Date
Germany 3. Liga		24-01-2026
Erzgebirge Aue	- (HT -)	SSV Ulm 1846
Germany 3. Liga		09-08-2025
SSV Ulm 1846	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Erzgebirge Aue
Germany 3. Liga		30-03-2024
SSV ULM 1846	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Erzgebirge AUE
Germany 3. Liga		22-10-2023
Erzgebirge AUE	1-2 (HT 1-0)	SSV ULM 1846