Football Prediction: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Audi Sportpark

1.84
D D L D W L

SCHEDULED -

0.81

W W W W L D

Kick Off: 04-03-2026 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

FC Ingolstadt 04 and MSV Duisburg face each other in the Germany 3. Liga match on Wednesday 4th of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches FC Ingolstadt 04 have scored an average of 1.63 goals and conceded average of 1.63 goals while MSV Duisburg scored 1.05 goals and conceded 1.90 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.46%

Head to Head Record - FC Ingolstadt 04 vs. MSV Duisburg

Date	Competition	Match
04-03-2026	Germany 3. Liga 2025	FC Ingolstadt 04	- (HT -)	MSV Duisburg
27-09-2025	Germany 3. Liga 2025	MSV Duisburg	- (HT -)	FC Ingolstadt 04
20-04-2024	Germany 3. Liga 2023	FC Ingolstadt 04	2-0 (HT 1-0)	MSV Duisburg
11-11-2023	Germany 3. Liga 2023	MSV Duisburg	1-2 (HT 0-0)	FC Ingolstadt 04

Competition		Date
Germany 3. Liga		04-03-2026
FC Ingolstadt 04	- (HT -)	MSV Duisburg
Germany 3. Liga		27-09-2025
MSV Duisburg	- (HT -)	FC Ingolstadt 04
Germany 3. Liga		20-04-2024
FC Ingolstadt 04	2-0 (HT 1-0)	MSV Duisburg
Germany 3. Liga		11-11-2023
MSV Duisburg	1-2 (HT 0-0)	FC Ingolstadt 04