Saturday 12th of July 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Volksparkstadion

This is Logo of Home Team: Hamburger SV 1.14
L W W L D L
SCHEDULED -
1.06 This is Logo of Away Team: FC St. Pauli
L D L D D W
Kick Off: 30-08-2025 15:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - X DRAW
Hamburger SV and FC St. Pauli face each other in the Germany Bundesliga match on Saturday 30th of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Hamburger SV have scored an average of 1.42 goals and conceded average of 1.42 goals while FC St. Pauli scored 1.31 goals and conceded 1.51 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Hamburger SV vs FC St. Pauli is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.24%

Head to Head Record - Hamburger SV vs. FC St. Pauli

Date Competition Match
24-01-2026 Germany Bundesliga 2025 FC St. Pauli - (HT -) Hamburger SV
30-08-2025 Germany Bundesliga 2025 Hamburger SV - (HT -) FC St. Pauli
03-05-2024 Germany 2. Bundesliga 2023 Hamburger SV 1-0 (HT 0-0) FC St. Pauli
01-12-2023 Germany 2. Bundesliga 2023 FC St. Pauli 2-2 (HT 2-0) Hamburger SV
16-02-2011 Germany Bundesliga 2010 Hamburger SV 0-1 (HT 0-0) FC St. Pauli
19-09-2010 Germany Bundesliga 2010 FC St. Pauli 1-1 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV
Competition Date
Germany Bundesliga 24-01-2026
FC St. Pauli - (HT -) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 30-08-2025
Hamburger SV - (HT -) FC St. Pauli
Germany 2. Bundesliga 03-05-2024
Hamburger SV 1-0 (HT 0-0) FC St. Pauli
Germany 2. Bundesliga 01-12-2023
FC St. Pauli 2-2 (HT 2-0) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 16-02-2011
Hamburger SV 0-1 (HT 0-0) FC St. Pauli
Germany Bundesliga 19-09-2010
FC St. Pauli 1-1 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV