Football Prediction: Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV

Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

1.09
W L D D D D

SCHEDULED -

0.79

L W W L D L

Kick Off: 28-09-2025 19:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Union Berlin and Hamburger SV face each other in the Germany Bundesliga match on Sunday 28th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Union Berlin have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while Hamburger SV scored 1.21 goals and conceded 1.80 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 70.78%

Head to Head Record - Union Berlin vs. Hamburger SV

Date	Competition	Match
14-02-2026	Germany Bundesliga 2025	Hamburger SV	- (HT -)	Union Berlin
28-09-2025	Germany Bundesliga 2025	Union Berlin	- (HT -)	Hamburger SV

Competition		Date
Germany Bundesliga		14-02-2026
Hamburger SV	- (HT -)	Union Berlin
Germany Bundesliga		28-09-2025
Union Berlin	- (HT -)	Hamburger SV