Sunday 7th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Volksparkstadion

This is Logo of Home Team: Hamburger SV 1.95
L D D L W W
SCHEDULED -
1.90 This is Logo of Away Team: FSV Mainz 05
D W L L W D
Kick Off: 05-10-2025 18:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN
Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 face each other in the Germany Bundesliga match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.38 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Hamburger SV have scored an average of 1.42 goals and conceded average of 1.42 goals while FSV Mainz 05 scored 1.23 goals and conceded 1.73 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 73.90%

Head to Head Record - Hamburger SV vs. FSV Mainz 05

Date Competition Match
21-02-2026 Germany Bundesliga 2025 FSV Mainz 05 - (HT -) Hamburger SV
05-10-2025 Germany Bundesliga 2025 Hamburger SV - (HT -) FSV Mainz 05
03-03-2018 Germany Bundesliga 2017 Hamburger SV 0-0 (HT 0-0) FSV Mainz 05
14-10-2017 Germany Bundesliga 2017 FSV Mainz 05 3-2 (HT 1-1) Hamburger SV
07-05-2017 Germany Bundesliga 2016 Hamburger SV 0-0 (HT 0-0) FSV Mainz 05
17-12-2016 Germany Bundesliga 2016 FSV Mainz 05 3-1 (HT 1-1) Hamburger SV
30-04-2016 Germany Bundesliga 2015 FSV Mainz 05 0-0 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV
05-12-2015 Germany Bundesliga 2015 Hamburger SV 1-3 (HT 0-1) FSV Mainz 05
03-05-2015 Germany Bundesliga 2014 FSV Mainz 05 1-2 (HT 0-1) Hamburger SV
07-12-2014 Germany Bundesliga 2014 Hamburger SV 2-1 (HT 1-0) FSV Mainz 05
10-05-2014 Germany Bundesliga 2013 FSV Mainz 05 3-2 (HT 1-1) Hamburger SV
21-12-2013 Germany Bundesliga 2013 Hamburger SV 2-3 (HT 1-0) FSV Mainz 05
13-04-2013 Germany Bundesliga 2012 FSV Mainz 05 1-2 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV
17-11-2012 Germany Bundesliga 2012 Hamburger SV 1-0 (HT 0-0) FSV Mainz 05
28-04-2012 Germany Bundesliga 2011 Hamburger SV 0-0 (HT 0-0) FSV Mainz 05
10-12-2011 Germany Bundesliga 2011 FSV Mainz 05 0-0 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV
06-03-2011 Germany Bundesliga 2010 Hamburger SV 2-4 (HT 1-0) FSV Mainz 05
16-10-2010 Germany Bundesliga 2010 FSV Mainz 05 0-1 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV
Competition Date
Germany Bundesliga 21-02-2026
FSV Mainz 05 - (HT -) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 05-10-2025
Hamburger SV - (HT -) FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga 03-03-2018
Hamburger SV 0-0 (HT 0-0) FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga 14-10-2017
FSV Mainz 05 3-2 (HT 1-1) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 07-05-2017
Hamburger SV 0-0 (HT 0-0) FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga 17-12-2016
FSV Mainz 05 3-1 (HT 1-1) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 30-04-2016
FSV Mainz 05 0-0 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 05-12-2015
Hamburger SV 1-3 (HT 0-1) FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga 03-05-2015
FSV Mainz 05 1-2 (HT 0-1) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 07-12-2014
Hamburger SV 2-1 (HT 1-0) FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga 10-05-2014
FSV Mainz 05 3-2 (HT 1-1) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 21-12-2013
Hamburger SV 2-3 (HT 1-0) FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga 13-04-2013
FSV Mainz 05 1-2 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 17-11-2012
Hamburger SV 1-0 (HT 0-0) FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga 28-04-2012
Hamburger SV 0-0 (HT 0-0) FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga 10-12-2011
FSV Mainz 05 0-0 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga 06-03-2011
Hamburger SV 2-4 (HT 1-0) FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga 16-10-2010
FSV Mainz 05 0-1 (HT 0-0) Hamburger SV