Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Volksparkstadion

1.43
W L L D D L

SCHEDULED -

1.33

L W L D W L

Kick Off: 05-10-2025 17:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and DRAW

Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 face each other in the Germany Bundesliga match on Sunday 5th of October 2025. The two teams have met 16 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.13 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.38 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Hamburger SV have scored an average of 1.42 goals and conceded average of 1.42 goals while FSV Mainz 05 scored 1.24 goals and conceded 1.73 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.94%

Head to Head Record - Hamburger SV vs. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Competition	Match
21-02-2026	Germany Bundesliga 2025	FSV Mainz 05	- (HT -)	Hamburger SV
05-10-2025	Germany Bundesliga 2025	Hamburger SV	- (HT -)	FSV Mainz 05
03-03-2018	Germany Bundesliga 2017	Hamburger SV	0-0 (HT 0-0)	FSV Mainz 05
14-10-2017	Germany Bundesliga 2017	FSV Mainz 05	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Hamburger SV
07-05-2017	Germany Bundesliga 2016	Hamburger SV	0-0 (HT 0-0)	FSV Mainz 05
17-12-2016	Germany Bundesliga 2016	FSV Mainz 05	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Hamburger SV
30-04-2016	Germany Bundesliga 2015	FSV Mainz 05	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV
05-12-2015	Germany Bundesliga 2015	Hamburger SV	1-3 (HT 0-1)	FSV Mainz 05
03-05-2015	Germany Bundesliga 2014	FSV Mainz 05	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Hamburger SV
07-12-2014	Germany Bundesliga 2014	Hamburger SV	2-1 (HT 1-0)	FSV Mainz 05
10-05-2014	Germany Bundesliga 2013	FSV Mainz 05	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Hamburger SV
21-12-2013	Germany Bundesliga 2013	Hamburger SV	2-3 (HT 1-0)	FSV Mainz 05
13-04-2013	Germany Bundesliga 2012	FSV Mainz 05	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV
17-11-2012	Germany Bundesliga 2012	Hamburger SV	1-0 (HT 0-0)	FSV Mainz 05
28-04-2012	Germany Bundesliga 2011	Hamburger SV	0-0 (HT 0-0)	FSV Mainz 05
10-12-2011	Germany Bundesliga 2011	FSV Mainz 05	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV
06-03-2011	Germany Bundesliga 2010	Hamburger SV	2-4 (HT 1-0)	FSV Mainz 05
16-10-2010	Germany Bundesliga 2010	FSV Mainz 05	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV

Competition		Date
Germany Bundesliga		21-02-2026
FSV Mainz 05	- (HT -)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		05-10-2025
Hamburger SV	- (HT -)	FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga		03-03-2018
Hamburger SV	0-0 (HT 0-0)	FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga		14-10-2017
FSV Mainz 05	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		07-05-2017
Hamburger SV	0-0 (HT 0-0)	FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga		17-12-2016
FSV Mainz 05	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		30-04-2016
FSV Mainz 05	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		05-12-2015
Hamburger SV	1-3 (HT 0-1)	FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga		03-05-2015
FSV Mainz 05	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		07-12-2014
Hamburger SV	2-1 (HT 1-0)	FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga		10-05-2014
FSV Mainz 05	3-2 (HT 1-1)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		21-12-2013
Hamburger SV	2-3 (HT 1-0)	FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga		13-04-2013
FSV Mainz 05	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		17-11-2012
Hamburger SV	1-0 (HT 0-0)	FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga		28-04-2012
Hamburger SV	0-0 (HT 0-0)	FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga		10-12-2011
FSV Mainz 05	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		06-03-2011
Hamburger SV	2-4 (HT 1-0)	FSV Mainz 05
Germany Bundesliga		16-10-2010
FSV Mainz 05	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV

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