Football Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Signal Iduna Park

2.52
L W W W D W

SCHEDULED -

1.71

D L W W L D

Kick Off: 21-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV face each other in the Germany Bundesliga match on Saturday 21st of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Borussia Dortmund have scored an average of 2.41 goals and conceded average of 2.41 goals while Hamburger SV scored 1.21 goals and conceded 1.79 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.00%

Head to Head Record - Borussia Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV

Date	Competition	Match
21-03-2026	Germany Bundesliga 2025	Borussia Dortmund	- (HT -)	Hamburger SV
08-11-2025	Germany Bundesliga 2025	Hamburger SV	- (HT -)	Borussia Dortmund
10-02-2018	Germany Bundesliga 2017	Borussia Dortmund	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV
20-09-2017	Germany Bundesliga 2017	Hamburger SV	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Borussia Dortmund
04-04-2017	Germany Bundesliga 2016	Borussia Dortmund	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Hamburger SV
05-11-2016	Germany Bundesliga 2016	Hamburger SV	2-5 (HT 0-3)	Borussia Dortmund
17-04-2016	Germany Bundesliga 2015	Borussia Dortmund	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Hamburger SV
20-11-2015	Germany Bundesliga 2015	Hamburger SV	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Borussia Dortmund
07-03-2015	Germany Bundesliga 2014	Hamburger SV	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Borussia Dortmund
04-10-2014	Germany Bundesliga 2014	Borussia Dortmund	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Hamburger SV
22-02-2014	Germany Bundesliga 2013	Hamburger SV	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Borussia Dortmund
14-09-2013	Germany Bundesliga 2013	Borussia Dortmund	6-2 (HT 2-1)	Hamburger SV
09-02-2013	Germany Bundesliga 2012	Borussia Dortmund	1-4 (HT 1-2)	Hamburger SV
22-09-2012	Germany Bundesliga 2012	Hamburger SV	3-2 (HT 1-0)	Borussia Dortmund
22-01-2012	Germany Bundesliga 2011	Hamburger SV	1-5 (HT 0-2)	Borussia Dortmund
05-08-2011	Germany Bundesliga 2011	Borussia Dortmund	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Hamburger SV
09-04-2011	Germany Bundesliga 2010	Hamburger SV	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Borussia Dortmund
12-11-2010	Germany Bundesliga 2010	Borussia Dortmund	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV

Competition		Date
Germany Bundesliga		21-03-2026
Borussia Dortmund	- (HT -)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		08-11-2025
Hamburger SV	- (HT -)	Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga		10-02-2018
Borussia Dortmund	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		20-09-2017
Hamburger SV	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga		04-04-2017
Borussia Dortmund	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		05-11-2016
Hamburger SV	2-5 (HT 0-3)	Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga		17-04-2016
Borussia Dortmund	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		20-11-2015
Hamburger SV	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga		07-03-2015
Hamburger SV	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga		04-10-2014
Borussia Dortmund	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		22-02-2014
Hamburger SV	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga		14-09-2013
Borussia Dortmund	6-2 (HT 2-1)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		09-02-2013
Borussia Dortmund	1-4 (HT 1-2)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		22-09-2012
Hamburger SV	3-2 (HT 1-0)	Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga		22-01-2012
Hamburger SV	1-5 (HT 0-2)	Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga		05-08-2011
Borussia Dortmund	3-1 (HT 2-0)	Hamburger SV
Germany Bundesliga		09-04-2011
Hamburger SV	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Borussia Dortmund
Germany Bundesliga		12-11-2010
Borussia Dortmund	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Hamburger SV