Football Prediction: Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

1.31
L W W W L D

SCHEDULED -

0.82

W D D L D L

Kick Off: 04-04-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Union Berlin and FC St. Pauli face each other in the Germany Bundesliga match on Saturday 4th of April 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Union Berlin have scored an average of 1.48 goals and conceded average of 1.48 goals while FC St. Pauli scored 1.30 goals and conceded 1.46 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.01%

Head to Head Record - Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli

Date	Competition	Match
04-04-2026	Germany Bundesliga 2025	Union Berlin	- (HT -)	FC St. Pauli
23-11-2025	Germany Bundesliga 2025	FC St. Pauli	- (HT -)	Union Berlin
26-01-2025	Germany Bundesliga 2024	FC St. Pauli	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Union Berlin
30-08-2024	Germany Bundesliga 2024	Union Berlin	1-0 (HT 1-0)	FC St. Pauli

Competition		Date
Germany Bundesliga		04-04-2026
Union Berlin	- (HT -)	FC St. Pauli
Germany Bundesliga		23-11-2025
FC St. Pauli	- (HT -)	Union Berlin
Germany Bundesliga		26-01-2025
FC St. Pauli	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Union Berlin
Germany Bundesliga		30-08-2024
Union Berlin	1-0 (HT 1-0)	FC St. Pauli