Football Prediction: Larisa vs Aris Thessalonikis

Larisa vs Aris Thessalonikis

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: AEL Arena

1.32
D L

SCHEDULED -

1.36

L W D L W D

Kick Off: 17-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Larisa and Aris Thessalonikis face each other in the Greece Super League 1 match on Saturday 17th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Larisa have scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded average of 1.00 goals while Aris Thessalonikis scored 1.12 goals and conceded 1.22 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Larisa vs Aris Thessalonikis is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.02%

Head to Head Record - Larisa vs. Aris Thessalonikis

Date	Competition	Match
17-01-2026	Greece Super League 1 2025	Larisa	- (HT -)	Aris Thessalonikis
29-11-2025	Greece Super League 1 2025	Aris Thessalonikis	- (HT -)	Larisa

Competition		Date
Greece Super League 1		17-01-2026
Larisa	- (HT -)	Aris Thessalonikis
Greece Super League 1		29-11-2025
Aris Thessalonikis	- (HT -)	Larisa