Football Prediction: Lecce vs Napoli

Lecce vs Napoli

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

1.08
W L D W D L

SCHEDULED -

1.91

W L L W W D

Kick Off: 04-05-2025 02:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Lecce and Napoli face each other in the Italy Serie A match on Sunday 4th of May 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.80 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.60 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Lecce have scored an average of 1.31 goals and conceded average of 1.31 goals while Napoli scored 1.67 goals and conceded 1.12 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Lecce vs Napoli is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.47%

Head to Head Record - Lecce vs. Napoli

Date	Competition	Match
04-05-2025	Italy Serie A 2024	Lecce	- (HT -)	Napoli
26-10-2024	Italy Serie A 2024	Napoli	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
26-05-2024	Italy Serie A 2023	Napoli	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
30-09-2023	Italy Serie A 2023	Lecce	0-4 (HT 0-1)	Napoli
07-04-2023	Italy Serie A 2022	Lecce	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Napoli
31-08-2022	Italy Serie A 2022	Napoli	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Lecce
09-02-2020	Italy Serie A 2019	Napoli	2-3 (HT 0-1)	Lecce
22-09-2019	Italy Serie A 2019	Lecce	1-4 (HT 0-2)	Napoli
25-04-2012	Italy Serie A 2011	Lecce	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Napoli
03-12-2011	Italy Serie A 2011	Napoli	4-2 (HT 3-0)	Lecce
08-05-2011	Italy Serie A 2010	Lecce	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Napoli
19-12-2010	Italy Serie A 2010	Napoli	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce

Competition		Date
Italy Serie A		04-05-2025
Lecce	- (HT -)	Napoli
Italy Serie A		26-10-2024
Napoli	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		26-05-2024
Napoli	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		30-09-2023
Lecce	0-4 (HT 0-1)	Napoli
Italy Serie A		07-04-2023
Lecce	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Napoli
Italy Serie A		31-08-2022
Napoli	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		09-02-2020
Napoli	2-3 (HT 0-1)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		22-09-2019
Lecce	1-4 (HT 0-2)	Napoli
Italy Serie A		25-04-2012
Lecce	0-2 (HT 0-1)	Napoli
Italy Serie A		03-12-2011
Napoli	4-2 (HT 3-0)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		08-05-2011
Lecce	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Napoli
Italy Serie A		19-12-2010
Napoli	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce