Football Prediction: Atalanta vs Como

Atalanta vs Como

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Gewiss Stadium

2.09
D D L W W W

SCHEDULED -

2.26

L W W L D W

Kick Off: 04-10-2025 21:45 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Atalanta and Como face each other in the Italy Serie A match on Saturday 4th of October 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Atalanta have scored an average of 1.75 goals and conceded average of 1.75 goals while Como scored 1.21 goals and conceded 1.45 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Atalanta vs Como is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 63.19%

Head to Head Record - Atalanta vs. Como

Date	Competition	Match
01-02-2026	Italy Serie A 2025	Como	- (HT 0-0)	Atalanta
04-10-2025	Italy Serie A 2025	Atalanta	- (HT 0-0)	Como
25-01-2025	Italy Serie A 2024	Como	1-2 (HT 1-0)	Atalanta
24-09-2024	Italy Serie A 2024	Atalanta	2-3 (HT 1-0)	Como

Competition		Date
Italy Serie A		01-02-2026
Como	- (HT 0-0)	Atalanta
Italy Serie A		04-10-2025
Atalanta	- (HT 0-0)	Como
Italy Serie A		25-01-2025
Como	1-2 (HT 1-0)	Atalanta
Italy Serie A		24-09-2024
Atalanta	2-3 (HT 1-0)	Como