Lecce vs Parma

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Via del Mare

1.60
L L L D W W

SCHEDULED -

1.45

D L D L W W

Kick Off: 11-01-2026 15:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

Lecce and Parma face each other in the Italy Serie A match on Sunday 11th of January 2026. The two teams have met 12 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.92 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.67 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Lecce have scored an average of 1.23 goals and conceded average of 1.23 goals while Parma scored 1.21 goals and conceded 1.63 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Lecce vs Parma is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58.66%

Head to Head Record - Lecce vs. Parma

Date	Competition	Match
11-01-2026	Italy Serie A 2025	Lecce	- (HT 0-0)	Parma
04-10-2025	Italy Serie A 2025	Parma	- (HT 0-0)	Lecce
31-01-2025	Italy Serie A 2024	Parma	1-3 (HT 1-1)	Lecce
21-09-2024	Italy Serie A 2024	Lecce	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Parma
01-11-2023	Italy Coppa Italia 2023	Lecce	2-4 (HT 0-2)	Parma
19-03-2022	Italy Serie B 2021	Parma	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
07-11-2021	Italy Serie B 2021	Lecce	4-0 (HT 4-0)	Parma
15-08-2021	Italy Coppa Italia 2021	Parma	1-3 (HT 1-2)	Lecce
02-08-2020	Italy Serie A 2019	Lecce	3-4 (HT 2-2)	Parma
13-01-2020	Italy Serie A 2019	Parma	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
29-04-2012	Italy Serie A 2011	Lecce	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Parma
18-12-2011	Italy Serie A 2011	Parma	3-3 (HT 1-0)	Lecce
02-02-2011	Italy Serie A 2010	Parma	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
22-09-2010	Italy Serie A 2010	Lecce	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Parma

Competition		Date
Italy Serie A		11-01-2026
Lecce	- (HT 0-0)	Parma
Italy Serie A		04-10-2025
Parma	- (HT 0-0)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		31-01-2025
Parma	1-3 (HT 1-1)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		21-09-2024
Lecce	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Parma
Italy Coppa Italia		01-11-2023
Lecce	2-4 (HT 0-2)	Parma
Italy Serie B		19-03-2022
Parma	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
Italy Serie B		07-11-2021
Lecce	4-0 (HT 4-0)	Parma
Italy Coppa Italia		15-08-2021
Parma	1-3 (HT 1-2)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		02-08-2020
Lecce	3-4 (HT 2-2)	Parma
Italy Serie A		13-01-2020
Parma	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		29-04-2012
Lecce	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Parma
Italy Serie A		18-12-2011
Parma	3-3 (HT 1-0)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		02-02-2011
Parma	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Lecce
Italy Serie A		22-09-2010
Lecce	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Parma

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