Friday 15th of August 2025*All matches in UTC time.

AC Milan vs Lecce

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: San Siro

This is Logo of Home Team: AC Milan 0.89
W L L W W W
SCHEDULED -
0.11 This is Logo of Away Team: Lecce
W W D L D L
Kick Off: 18-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Icon for draw result - 1 Home WIN
AC Milan and Lecce face each other in the Italy Serie A match on Sunday 18th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.67 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.33 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches AC Milan have scored an average of 1.70 goals and conceded average of 1.70 goals while Lecce scored 0.96 goals and conceded 1.51 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for AC Milan vs Lecce is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 92.02%

Head to Head Record - AC Milan vs. Lecce

Date Competition Match
18-01-2026 Italy Serie A 2025 AC Milan - (HT 0-0) Lecce
29-08-2025 Italy Serie A 2025 Lecce - (HT 0-0) AC Milan
08-03-2025 Italy Serie A 2024 Lecce 2-3 (HT 1-0) AC Milan
27-09-2024 Italy Serie A 2024 AC Milan 3-0 (HT 3-0) Lecce
06-04-2024 Italy Serie A 2023 AC Milan 3-0 (HT 2-0) Lecce
11-11-2023 Italy Serie A 2023 Lecce 2-2 (HT 0-2) AC Milan
23-04-2023 Italy Serie A 2022 AC Milan 2-0 (HT 1-0) Lecce
14-01-2023 Italy Serie A 2022 Lecce 2-2 (HT 2-0) AC Milan
22-06-2020 Italy Serie A 2019 Lecce 1-4 (HT 0-1) AC Milan
20-10-2019 Italy Serie A 2019 AC Milan 2-2 (HT 1-0) Lecce
11-03-2012 Italy Serie A 2011 AC Milan 2-0 (HT 1-0) Lecce
23-10-2011 Italy Serie A 2011 Lecce 3-4 (HT 3-0) AC Milan
16-01-2011 Italy Serie A 2010 Lecce 1-1 (HT 0-0) AC Milan
29-08-2010 Italy Serie A 2010 AC Milan 4-0 (HT 3-0) Lecce
Competition Date
Italy Serie A 18-01-2026
AC Milan - (HT 0-0) Lecce
Italy Serie A 29-08-2025
Lecce - (HT 0-0) AC Milan
Italy Serie A 08-03-2025
Lecce 2-3 (HT 1-0) AC Milan
Italy Serie A 27-09-2024
AC Milan 3-0 (HT 3-0) Lecce
Italy Serie A 06-04-2024
AC Milan 3-0 (HT 2-0) Lecce
Italy Serie A 11-11-2023
Lecce 2-2 (HT 0-2) AC Milan
Italy Serie A 23-04-2023
AC Milan 2-0 (HT 1-0) Lecce
Italy Serie A 14-01-2023
Lecce 2-2 (HT 2-0) AC Milan
Italy Serie A 22-06-2020
Lecce 1-4 (HT 0-1) AC Milan
Italy Serie A 20-10-2019
AC Milan 2-2 (HT 1-0) Lecce
Italy Serie A 11-03-2012
AC Milan 2-0 (HT 1-0) Lecce
Italy Serie A 23-10-2011
Lecce 3-4 (HT 3-0) AC Milan
Italy Serie A 16-01-2011
Lecce 1-1 (HT 0-0) AC Milan
Italy Serie A 29-08-2010
AC Milan 4-0 (HT 3-0) Lecce