Football Prediction: Empoli vs Padova

Empoli vs Padova

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

1.86
L W D L W W

Full Time 3-1

1.75

L L L L L

Kick Off: 23-08-2025 19:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Empoli and Padova face each other in the Italy Serie B match on Saturday 23rd of August 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Empoli have scored an average of 1.16 goals and conceded average of 1.16 goals while Padova scored 0.50 goals and conceded 3.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Empoli vs Padova is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 51.21%

Head to Head Record - Empoli vs. Padova

Date	Competition	Match
11-04-2026	Italy Serie B 2025	Padova	- (HT -)	Empoli
23-08-2025	Italy Serie B 2025	Empoli	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Padova

Competition		Date
Italy Serie B		11-04-2026
Padova	- (HT -)	Empoli
Italy Serie B		23-08-2025
Empoli	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Padova