Football Prediction: Modena vs Bari

Modena vs Bari

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Stadio Alberto Braglia

0.86
D W L L D L

SCHEDULED -

0.72

D L L D L W

Kick Off: 13-09-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Modena and Bari face each other in the Italy Serie B match on Saturday 13th of September 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Modena have scored an average of 1.32 goals and conceded average of 1.32 goals while Bari scored 1.04 goals and conceded 1.26 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Modena vs Bari is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 78.93%

Head to Head Record - Modena vs. Bari

Date	Competition	Match
06-04-2026	Italy Serie B 2025	Bari	- (HT -)	Modena
13-09-2025	Italy Serie B 2025	Modena	- (HT -)	Bari
25-04-2025	Italy Serie B 2024	Bari	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Modena
23-08-2024	Italy Serie B 2024	Modena	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Bari
01-04-2024	Italy Serie B 2023	Modena	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Bari
21-10-2023	Italy Serie B 2023	Bari	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Modena
06-05-2023	Italy Serie B 2022	Modena	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Bari
11-12-2022	Italy Serie B 2022	Bari	4-1 (HT 2-0)	Modena

Competition		Date
Italy Serie B		06-04-2026
Bari	- (HT -)	Modena
Italy Serie B		13-09-2025
Modena	- (HT -)	Bari
Italy Serie B		25-04-2025
Bari	1-2 (HT 1-2)	Modena
Italy Serie B		23-08-2024
Modena	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Bari
Italy Serie B		01-04-2024
Modena	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Bari
Italy Serie B		21-10-2023
Bari	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Modena
Italy Serie B		06-05-2023
Modena	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Bari
Italy Serie B		11-12-2022
Bari	4-1 (HT 2-0)	Modena